Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Cincinnati vs Columbus: First Goalscorer

Reported volume

K 71.96 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Cincinnati vs Columbus: First Goalscorer

Vol

K 71.96 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

71.96 contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

20 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Andre Gomes: First Goalscorer

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Andre Gomes: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	49.5%
No Goal: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	49.0%
Marcelo Herrera: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	49.0%
Kevin Denkey: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48.0%
Evander: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	47.5%
Gonzalo Tapia: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	12.5%
Brais Mendez: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	12.0%
Tom Barlow: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	12.0%
Santiago Rodriguez: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	11.0%
David Doudera: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	11.0%
Taha Habroune: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	9.5%
Pavel Bucha: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	9.0%
Sean Zawadzki: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	8.0%
Malte Amundsen: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	8.0%
Brooks Lennon: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	8.0%
Obinna Nwobodo: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	8.0%
Julian Malatini: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	8.0%
Steven Moreira: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	7.5%
Teenage Hadebe: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	7.5%
Samuel Gidi: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	7.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 71.96 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

CIN vs CLB (Oct 18) If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Cincinnati vs Columbus: First Goalscorer
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 71.96 contracts
Coverage: 20 of 20 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: No Goal: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-NOGOAL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If no player records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Taha Habroune: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBTHABRO16; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Taha Habroune records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Sean Zawadzki: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBSZAWAD25; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Sean Zawadzki records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Santiago Rodriguez: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBSRODRI8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Santiago Rodriguez records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Steven Moreira: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBSMOREI31; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Steven Moreira records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Marcelo Herrera: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBMHERRE2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Marcelo Herrera records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Malte Amundsen: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBMAMUND18; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Malte Amundsen records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Gonzalo Tapia: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBGTAPIA33; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Gonzalo Tapia records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Brais Mendez: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBBMENDE10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Brais Mendez records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Brooks Lennon: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBBLENNO11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Brooks Lennon records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Andre Gomes: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CLBAGOMES20; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Andre Gomes records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Teenage Hadebe: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CINTHADEB15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Teenage Hadebe records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Tom Barlow: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CINTBARLO16; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tom Barlow records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Samuel Gidi: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CINSGIDI11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Samuel Gidi records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Pavel Bucha: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CINPBUCHA20; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pavel Bucha records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Obinna Nwobodo: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CINONWOBO5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Obinna Nwobodo records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Kevin Denkey: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CINKDENKE9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 35.4 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Kevin Denkey records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Julian Malatini: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CINJMALAT6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Julian Malatini records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Evander: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CINEVAN10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 36.56 contracts
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Evander records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: David Doudera: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT18CINCLB-CINDDOUDE23; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct18cinclb
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If David Doudera records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Cincinnati vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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