Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T06:00:05.937Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the source states that the market concerns only that stream, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
Because the rule compares a window average against the starting price, a contract like this is not the same as a question about where the price sits at the end of the window. Readers comparing it with a similarly titled market elsewhere should check the exact wording, the data source, and the listed close time, since any of these can differ.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record shows two outcomes: Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they describe the saved record only. The record was observed at 2026-11-02T06:00:05.937Z and retrieved at 2026-11-02T08:04:17.238Z [1]. The observation time is earlier than the retrieval time, so the prices reflect the moment of observation, not the moment of retrieval.
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T12:15:00.000Z [1]. The saved record lists the status as active [1]. This is the status recorded in the snapshot, not a confirmed status at the time you read this.
Coverage is limited to one market for one event. The saved data includes one of one markets and is not a partial sample [1]. Because only two outcomes exist in this contract, the sample does not involve ranking or omitted outcomes. The record also states that counts describe the saved provider event and do not establish that providers list every possible outcome [1]. No volume, liquidity, or trader-count information is supplied, so none can be drawn from this snapshot.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and this analysis does not offer a reason. It also does not show whether the prices changed after the observation time, whether the contract has since closed, or how it resolved. Resolution depends on the Chainlink TWAP data, which is not included in the supplied evidence.
A price difference between this contract and any other platform's contract is not an arbitrage opportunity unless the wording, resolution source, and close times match, and the supplied evidence does not establish that they do.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T06:00:05.937Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of Hyperliquid's HYPE/USD pair will finish a 15-minute range at or above where it started. The contract is listed in the crypto category [1]. The outcome is decided by a time-weighted average price rather than a single trade. The rule says the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the calculation averages prices across the window, a brief spike or dip near the end of the range would not by itself decide the result under this wording. The contract names a specific data source. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns this stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should therefore check the Chainlink stream rather than an exchange quote for HYPE. The listed end time is 2026-11-02T12:15:00Z, and the provider reported the contract as active when the saved record was taken [1]. The record was observed at 06:00 UTC and retrieved at 08:04 UTC, so the status and any price shown describe that earlier moment rather than the present. The end time is the listed closing time from the provider, not a record of how the contract actually settled. The supplied material does not show a final resolution.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether HYPE/USD, as recorded in Chainlink's TWAP data stream, finishes its 15-minute window at or above its starting price [1]. It is useful for understanding how a short-term directional question is defined and which data source decides it. Its wording makes the averaging method and the named stream the central facts. The listed price on the platform is a snapshot of trading activity and is not a verified probability that the outcome will occur.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an "Up" result?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD from Chainlink over the stated range is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range [1].
Which price feed decides the market?
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules say other sources and spot markets are not used for resolution [1].
When does this contract close?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-11-02T12:15:00Z [1].
Does the contract price show the chance of an Up result?
A market price is a snapshot from one moment and is not an executable quote or a verified probability. The saved record for this contract was observed at 06:00 UTC, so it does not reflect later trading [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.