Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: Correct Score
K 0 contracts
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30
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: Correct Score
K 0 contracts
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30
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
30
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
LEV vs SCF (Oct 18) If Bayer Leverkusen wins X in the Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied rules describe a Bundesliga match between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Freiburg, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each correct-score contract resolves to Yes if the stated final score occurs "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. Because extra time and penalties are excluded, a result decided only after those periods would not count toward a score contract's Yes outcome. The rules also state an early close condition: the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].
Contracts in this event differ only in the score named. Some are Leverkusen wins, some are draws, and some are Freiburg wins, so each row answers a different question and should be read separately.
Reading the snapshot
The observation time is 2026-10-17T09:00:05Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T09:13:52Z [1]. These are the only price times supplied, so the figures describe that moment and not a live quote. The listed market end date for every included contract is 2026-10-20T19:30:00Z, which is later than the scheduled match date. The source excerpt separately states that the listed end time is "not supplied," so the end date should not be read as the match's actual conclusion or resolution time.
The quoted Yes prices for the highest-ranked included contracts are 0.095 for Leverkusen wins 2-1 and 0.09 for a 1-1 draw [1]. A Yes price is a snapshot of a quote, not an executable price, and not a verified probability. Trading volume is also not supplied as a measure of liquidity or trader count.
The sample is partial. The provider event contains 30 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The selection rule ranks markets by Yes price, then volume, so the included set reflects that rule rather than the full field. No conclusions should be drawn about the omitted 18 markets' prices.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not say how many people are trading. It contains no information on team news, lineups, or other events between the snapshot and the match. Because only one platform is supplied, no cross-platform comparison is possible, and differences in wording between providers should be checked before any comparison. Finally, the actual result and resolution are not in the evidence.
References
- Kalshi: Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: Correct Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a correct score market for a Bundesliga match between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Freiburg. The official provider rules describe the match as originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 [1]. The specific contract shown here resolves to Yes if Bayer Leverkusen wins 2-1. The rules measure the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded [1]. A Leverkusen win on penalties after a 1-1 draw would therefore not satisfy this contract. The provider event also lists other correct score contracts, including Leverkusen 2-0, Leverkusen 1-0, Draw 1-1, SC Freiburg 2-1 and Draw 0-0. Each one is a separate contract with its own resolution condition, and they should be read individually rather than as a set of mutually adjusted probabilities. The rules include an early close condition. The market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider's listed end time for the event was not supplied [1], so the contract's closing mechanics beyond that early close language are not specified in the evidence.
Why It Matters
The contract measures one precise outcome: whether the final score after regulation time, including stoppage time, is Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen, meaning Leverkusen wins by exactly that margin [1]. Its value depends on the match result as defined by the rules, not on general team strength or on the overall result. Readers should check the resolution wording carefully, since extra time and penalties are excluded [1]. The market snapshot reflects prices observed at a specific time. Those prices are not executable quotes and should not be read as verified probabilities. The sample shown is partial: 12 of 30 markets from this provider event are included, selected by Yes price, so the displayed set is not the full field of possible scorelines.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does a 2-1 win after extra time or penalties count for this contract?
No. The provider rules state that the match is measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and do not include extra time or penalties [1]. Only the regulation result is relevant to this contract.
When is the match scheduled?
The provider event name refers to a match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 [1]. The event's listed end time was not supplied [1], so the date in the rules should not be read as a confirmed final event schedule beyond that reference.
What happens if the market closes early?
The rules say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The evidence does not describe any other early closing or settlement procedure.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
