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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Name: Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
End: 2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$26.15

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Vol

$26.15

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $26.15

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.15

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Poly	43%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Poly	41%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Poly	36%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Poly	36%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	Poly	31%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Poly	28%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$26.15

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactl

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2027 (539 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactl

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outs"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $26
* **Total Liquidity:** $24.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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