GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?

Name: Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?
End: 2026-08-06T15:46:21.404Z

Total Volume

$16.92K

Events

Markets

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Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?

Vol

$16.92K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $16.92K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $16.92K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

46 markets tracked

Will HANJIN BRION make a roster change by December?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(46)

Market	Platform	Price
Will HANJIN BRION make a roster change by December?	Poly	86%
Will NONGSHIM RED FORCE make a roster change by December?	Poly	81%
Will Shifters make a roster change by December?	Poly	76%
Will BNK FEARX make a roster change by December?	Poly	76%
Will Gen.G Esports make a roster change by December?	Poly	75%
Will DN SOOPers make a roster change by December?	Poly	69%
Will Invictus Gaming make a roster change by December?	Poly	68%
Will Dplus KIA make a roster change by December?	Poly	67%
Will KIWOOM DRX make a roster change by December?	Poly	66%
Will GIANTX make a roster change by December?	Poly	64%
Will T1 make a roster change by December?	Poly	59%
Will Movistar KOI make a roster change by December?	Poly	55%
Will Anyone's Legend make a roster change by December?	Poly	55%
Will Cloud9 make a roster change by December?	Poly	54%
Will kt Rolster make a roster change by December?	Poly	53%
Will G2 Esports make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will SK Gaming make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will Team Heretics make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will Team Vitality make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will Dignitas make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will FlyQuest make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will LYON make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will Shopify Rebellion make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will Team Liquid make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will Disguised make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will EDWARD GAMING make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will LGD GAMING make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will TOP ESPORTS make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will WeiboGaming make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will FURIA make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will LEVIATÁN make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will LOUD make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will paiN Gaming make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will RED Canids make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will Vivo Keyd Stars make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will LØS make a roster change by December?	Poly	50%
Will Sentinels make a roster change by December?	Poly	49%
Will Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS make a roster change by December?	Poly	43%
Will Suzhou LNG Esports make a roster change by December?	Poly	43%
Will Xi'an Team WE make a roster change by December?	Poly	42%
Will THUNDER TALK GAMING make a roster change by December?	Poly	41%
Will Fluxo W7M make a roster change by December?	Poly	41%
Will Fnatic make a roster change by December?	Poly	38%
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change by December?	Poly	24%
Will Karmine Corp make a roster change by December?	Poly	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$16.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 6, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant roster is whichev"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.6K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 9.65)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Fnatic make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $614
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will G2 Esports make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $393
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will GIANTX make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $934
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Karmine Corp make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Movistar KOI make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Natus Vincere make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Shifters make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $376
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will SK Gaming make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $191
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Team Heretics make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Team Vitality make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gen.G Esports make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $949
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will T1 make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will NONGSHIM RED FORCE make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $585
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will DN SOOPers make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $732
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will HANJIN BRION make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will BNK FEARX make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Dplus KIA make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $388
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will KIWOOM DRX make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $275
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will kt Rolster make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $363
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Cloud9 make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Dignitas make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will FlyQuest make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will LYON make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Sentinels make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Shopify Rebellion make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Team Liquid make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Disguised make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Anyone's Legend make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $393
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will EDWARD GAMING make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will LGD GAMING make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Xi'an Team WE make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $531
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will TOP ESPORTS make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $65
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will THUNDER TALK GAMING make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $398
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Invictus Gaming make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $720
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $401
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Suzhou LNG Esports make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $390
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will WeiboGaming make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $524
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Fluxo W7M make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will FURIA make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will LEVIATÁN make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $65
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will LOUD make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will paiN Gaming make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will RED Canids make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $179
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Vivo Keyd Stars make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will LØS make a roster change by December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $135
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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