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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Copa America 2028 Host

Copa America 2028 Host
Vol

PM $2.9K · K 1.4K contracts

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Events

2

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Markets

15

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, USA is priced at 87.5% on Polymarket and 86.5% on Kalshi.

Outcome (Yes price)PolymarketKalshiGap
USASame question, fine print differs87.5%86.5%1.0 pts
EcuadorSame question, fine print differs1.3%8%6.8 pts

Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $2.9K · K 1.4K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

15

Saved contracts

2

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the country officially announced as the host of the 2028 Copa America. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by CONMEBOL of the country selected to host the tournament. Bid proposals, recommendations by member associations, and media speculation about the decision will not qualify on their own. If the tournament is officially announced as being co-hosted by more than one country, this market will resolve to the country CONMEBOL designates as the primary host; if no primary host is designated, this market will resolve to "Other". A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the host or to the scheduled dates of the tournament. If no host is officially announced by June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiSports
2028 Copa America Champion

2028 Copa America Champion

PM $406.73 · K 5.1K contracts

Will Lionel Messi play at the 2028 Copa America?

Kalshi: Will Argentina win the 2028 Copa America?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.6%Rules differK Yes 28.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketSports
UEFA Euro 2028: Reserved Host Slots

UEFA Euro 2028: Reserved Host Slots

PM $439.96
Will Republic of Ireland take a reserved host slot at UEFA Euro 2028?Yes 50%
Will Scotland take a reserved host slot at UEFA Euro 2028?Yes 45%
Will Wales take a reserved host slot at UEFA Euro 2028?Yes 27%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference?

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference?

K 8.1K contracts
What will JD Vance say during Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Taxpayer)Yes 86.5%
What will JD Vance say during Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Medicare / Medicaid)Yes 78.5%
What will JD Vance say during Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Democrat)Yes 77%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

K 387.17 contracts
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Economy / Economic)Yes 69%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 66.5%
What will JD Vance say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Oil / Gas / Gasoline)Yes 62.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
UEFA EURO 2028: Winner

UEFA EURO 2028: Winner

PM $167.7K
Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?Yes 15.5%
Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028?Yes 6.3%
Will Liechtenstein win the UEFA EURO 2028?Yes 2.9%
+28 moreNext deadline Jul 24, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Copa Libertadores 2027 Winner

Copa Libertadores 2027 Winner

PM $49.5K · K 15.4K contracts

Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?

Kalshi: Will Palmeiras win the 2026 Copa do Brasil?

Related contracts

PM Yes 42%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Will Palmeiras win the 2026 Copa do Brasil?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 44%Rules differK Yes 54.5%

Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?

Kalshi: Will Flamengo win the Copa Libertadores?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 48%Rules differK Yes 45.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 6, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

1

Same-question pairs

2

Largest saved gap: 6.8 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.