ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
PM $0
1
1
ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price in the 11:00 AM to 11:15 AM ET window on October 16. Under the rules quoted from the provider, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash "generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Readers comparing this with a ZCash price on an exchange or another data feed should expect those figures may differ, because the rules name only this stream.
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T15:15:00.000Z [1]. That is the time the provider lists for the contract's close. It is not a confirmed resolution time, and the evidence does not show how or when the outcome was determined.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation was taken at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:04:22.187Z [1]. The provider status at retrieval was "active" [1]. The snapshot shows two outcomes, Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. Read as a snapshot, these prices are equal, meaning the saved quotes did not favor either outcome. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The record includes no volume, liquidity, or trader count, so the snapshot cannot indicate how deep the market was or how many participants were involved. The sample covers one market from one event, and it is not partial: the coverage record reports one total market and one included market [1]. Because there is only one contract here, there is no other platform or outcome to compare against.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show prices after the observation time, so the current state of this contract is unknown beyond the retrieved status. It also does not explain any movement in price, since no price history is supplied. The sampling note states that the saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1], but this contract is a binary Up or Down market, so the two listed outcomes are the full set in the saved record.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
PredictPedia tracks a Polymarket event titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET" in the crypto category [1]. It is a short-window contract with two named outcomes, Up and Down [1]. The contract asks whether the price of ZCash will end the stated 15-minute window at or above where it started, as measured by a specific data feed. The resolution rule is set out in the event description. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the rule compares an average over the window with the starting price, a contract can resolve Up even if the price is below its starting level at the final moment, provided the time-weighted average stays at or above the opening price. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The event description states that the market concerns the price according to this Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. The source lists an end time of 2026-10-16T15:15:00.000Z for this event [1]. That is a contract rule and not an announced event. The source also records the provider status as active at the time it was retrieved [1]. Any status or price shown alongside this article reflects the dated snapshot, not live trading conditions.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD time-weighted average over the 11:00 to 11:15 AM ET window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Using a time-weighted average rather than a single price point means the outcome depends on the price path across the window, not only its final value [1]. Because the rule names one data stream as the resolution source, the result is tied to that feed and not to other exchanges or quoted prices [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Up outcome mean for this contract?
The market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What does the Down outcome mean?
The market resolves to Down if the condition for Up is not met, meaning the time-weighted average over the range is below the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which data source decides the result?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and the rule states that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Does a displayed price show the chance that an outcome happens?
Displayed prices are snapshots taken at a specific time. They are not executable quotes and are not verified probabilities, so they should not be read as a confirmed chance of either outcome.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
