Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith: Method of Victory

Reported volume

K 17.6K contracts

Events

Markets

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Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith: Method of Victory

Vol

K 17.6K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Jacobe Smith by KO/TKO/DQ at 39.5%.

Kalshi

Jacobe Smith by KO/TKO/DQ39.5%
Randy Brown by KO/TKO/DQ18%
Jacobe Smith by Submission17.5%
Jacobe Smith by Decision11.5%
Randy Brown by Decision7.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Jacobe Smith wins by KO/TKO/DQ?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Jacobe Smith wins by KO/TKO/DQ?	Kalshi	39.5%
Randy Brown wins by KO/TKO/DQ?	Kalshi	18.0%
Jacobe Smith wins by Submission?	Kalshi	17.5%
Jacobe Smith wins by Decision?	Kalshi	11.5%
Randy Brown wins by Decision?	Kalshi	7.5%
Randy Brown wins by Submission?	Kalshi	4.5%
Fight ends in a draw/no contest?	Kalshi	1.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 17.6K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith (Oct 31) If Jacobe Smith wins X during the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith: Method of Victory
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 17.6K contracts
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Jacobe Smith wins by Submission?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31BROSMI-SMISUB; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31brosmi
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 207.95 contracts
Outcome Yes: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jacobe Smith wins by Submission during the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Jacobe Smith wins by KO/TKO/DQ?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31BROSMI-SMIKOTKODQ; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31brosmi
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 6.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 39.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 60.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jacobe Smith wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Jacobe Smith wins by Decision?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31BROSMI-SMIDEC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31brosmi
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jacobe Smith wins by Decision during the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Fight ends in a draw/no contest?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31BROSMI-DRAW; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31brosmi
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 4 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Randy Brown and Jacobe Smith fight ends in a draw or no contest during the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Randy Brown wins by Submission?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31BROSMI-BROSUB; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31brosmi
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 7.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Randy Brown wins by Submission during the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Randy Brown wins by KO/TKO/DQ?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31BROSMI-BROKOTKODQ; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31brosmi
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 3.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 18.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Randy Brown wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Randy Brown wins by Decision?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXUFCMOV-26OCT31BROSMI-BRODEC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov-26oct31brosmi
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 93.47 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Randy Brown wins by Decision during the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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