BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-30T05:40:00.000Z [1]. A comparison with another venue would need matching wording, time window, and data source before the prices could be read side by side.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-29T09:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-29T11:50:16Z [1]. It is a record from the observation time, not a live reading. The saved outcome prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the two prices sum to 1.000 in this record, the snapshot shows the market's relative pricing of the two outcomes at that moment and nothing more.
The sample covers one market in one saved event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The provider's warning says the listed markets do not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. Because this event has only two outcomes, no omitted outcome is involved here.
The saved record does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and it contains no trader counts or volume figures to help interpret them.
What remains uncertain
The saved record shows the status as active and gives no later status [1]. The snapshot cannot show whether the price has changed since 2026-10-29T09:00:06Z. The contract's outcome depends on the Chainlink TWAP over a window that the record places after the retrieval time, so no resolution can be read from this evidence. Readers should check the provider page directly for current prices, status, and rules before relying on any figure here.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket. The market is titled "BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET" and is categorized under Crypto [1]. Its two listed outcomes are "Up" and "Down" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB, measured over a specific five-minute window, ends at or above where that window began. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules state that the resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and that the market concerns that specific Chainlink data stream rather than other sources or spot markets [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-30T05:40:00Z [1]. The contract is marked as active by the provider [1]. Because the contract is a short window, the reference point and the closing point are both defined by the rules rather than by any external news event. The title's Eastern Time window and the listed end time are the contract's own timing terms, not an announced event date [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB's Chainlink TWAP for the stated window finishes at or above its value at the start of that window [1]. Using a time-weighted average rather than a single price point means the outcome depends on the average over the period, not only the price at its final moment [1]. The rules also limit the outcome to one named data stream, so a move on another exchange or spot market would not by itself decide the result [1]. Traders who read the listed outcome prices are looking at how the market values each side of that specific rule, which is not a verified probability of BNB's future movement.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether the market resolves Up?
The market resolves Up if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What price source does the contract use?
The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market is about that stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T05:40:00Z, and the title describes the window as 1:35AM to 1:40AM ET on October 30 [1].
Do the listed prices show the chance that BNB rises?
No. The listed prices are market snapshots for the two outcomes and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities of what BNB will do [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.