BNB Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket market in the Crypto category, titled "BNB Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET." It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price chart, an exchange quote, or a differently worded BNB market should check that the reference source and the averaging method match.
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T16:20:00.000Z [1]. This is the closing time shown by the provider, not a resolution result. The rules and listed end time describe when the contract is set to close, and no resolution outcome is included in the evidence.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation time is 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T18:30:41.018Z [1]. These are separate timestamps: the provider's observation, the retrieval of the saved record, and the contract's listed close are all different. The prices below describe the saved observation only.
At that observation, the status was active, with the following quoted prices:
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495
Read as prices, these figures suggest that the quoted Up side was slightly above the Down side at the saved observation. They are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include bid and ask depth, trade history, volume, or the number of traders, so it cannot show liquidity or how much capital supports either side.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. No other outcomes or contracts were compared, so there is no cross-platform comparison to make.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the market has changed since the observation, what the price will be at the listed close, or how the contract will resolve. It also does not explain the reasons behind the quoted prices. The sample warning states that the saved markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1], but this market is a binary Up or Down contract, so the two quoted outcomes are the only ones in the saved record.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket. The market is titled "BNB Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET" and falls in the Crypto category [1]. It asks whether the price of BNB, measured against U.S. dollars, will finish a five-minute window higher or lower than where it started. The contract is a binary market with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. The resolution rule is specific. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price used is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream generated by Chainlink, not a general spot price. The source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as a question about that one data feed rather than about exchange prices in general. The listed end time for this contract is 2026-10-26T16:20:00.000Z, which is 16:20 UTC on October 26, 2026 [1]. That is the contract's closing time under its listed rules. It is not a record of when the outcome was determined, and the rules do not by themselves show that resolution has occurred.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB's time-weighted average price over a five-minute window is at or above the price at the window's start, using the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the sole reference [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window rather than a single moment, the result depends on the path of the feed throughout the period, not only on its endpoints. Because the rules name one data stream and exclude other sources and spot markets, the contract's result is tied to that feed's values alone [1]. Readers interested in BNB pricing elsewhere should note that the contract does not measure those other prices.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether the market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used?
The rules specify the BNB/USD TWAP data stream generated by Chainlink. The source says the market is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T16:20:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time, and the rules do not establish a separate resolution time.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.