Name: Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki
End: 2026-05-09T07:00:00.000Z

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Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?	Poly	44%
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?	Poly	36%
Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?	Poly	35%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 9, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Cerezo Ōsaka and V-Varen Nagasaki.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9, 2026
If Cerezo Ōsaka wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $38
* **Total Liquidity:** $216
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.18)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

22d 18h remaining

May 09, 2026 7:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

38¢

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Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki

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Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki

Markets (3)

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?

Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?

Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?

Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?

Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?

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Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?

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Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?

Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?

Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-09?

Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?

Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?

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