Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market is in the Crypto category and is titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A Dogecoin price from another exchange or data feed measures something different, so it should not be compared directly with this contract.
The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-26T22:45:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers comparing timing should rely on the listed UTC end time.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z and retrieved by PredictPedia at 2026-10-26T01:19:39.423Z [1]. In that snapshot, the Up outcome is priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome is priced at 0.5 [1]. These are saved prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the snapshot was observed nearly 80 minutes before retrieval, it does not show prices at the time of reading.
The sample contains one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and partialSample set to false [1]. All saved markets for this event are included, but that does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome. No other platform's market appears in this sample, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the two prices are equal, how many traders are involved, or how much trading occurred. An equal price in one snapshot does not indicate a direction for the window. The evidence also does not include the actual Dogecoin TWAP or the starting price for the window, so it cannot show how the market will resolve. The provider status was recorded as active at observation [1]. Readers who need current information should check the provider and the Chainlink data stream directly.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window Dogecoin price contract listed on Polymarket. The event is titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET" [1]. Its rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, referred to in the rules as a 60-second stream [1]. The rules specify that the contract concerns the price according to this Chainlink data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore check the Chainlink stream rather than general price charts when assessing how it will resolve. The saved event lists a listed end time of 2026-10-26T22:45:00 UTC and a status of active at the time of retrieval [1]. The end time is the time stated in the listing; it does not mean the contract has settled, and the stored record does not show a resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink-generated DOGE/USD TWAP over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it compares an average over the window against a starting price, the result depends on the rule's specific definition rather than on the closing price alone. The saved snapshot shows the Up and Down outcomes both priced at 0.5 at the observation time [1]. These figures are snapshots of listed prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not indicate what the market expects beyond that moment.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink-generated TWAP of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The rules name the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, described as 60-second, and state that other sources or spot markets are not the basis for resolution [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title gives the window as 6:40PM to 6:45PM ET on October 26, and the listed end time in the saved record is 2026-10-26T22:45:00 UTC [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
PM $21.57Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.