GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

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Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

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12 markets tracked

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)	Kalshi	73%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)	Kalshi	19%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Max Holloway)	Kalshi	5%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Benoit Saint-Denis)	Kalshi	2%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Charles Oliveira)	Kalshi	2%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)	Kalshi	2%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Paddy Pimblett)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Mauricio Ruffy)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Volkanovski)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Mateusz Gamrot)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Islam Makhachev)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Dan Hooker)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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73%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Before 2027 If X is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If X is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Mauricio Ruffy is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Mauricio Ruffy)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Volkanovski)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Benoit Saint-Denis)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Paddy Pimblett)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Max Holloway)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Mateusz Gamrot)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Islam Makhachev)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Dan Hooker)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Charles Oliveira)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Ilia Topuria)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets12

12 of 12

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KALSHI

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)

If Justin Gaethje is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated

KALSHI

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)

If Arman Tsarukyan is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated

KALSHI

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Max Holloway)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIOther

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Max Holloway)

If Max Holloway is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated ma

KALSHI

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Benoit Saint-Denis)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHITech

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Benoit Saint-Denis)

If Benoit Saint-Denis is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associa

KALSHI

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Charles Oliveira)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIOther

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Charles Oliveira)

If Charles Oliveira is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associate

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/YWjlD-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?"></iframe>

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Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Markets (12)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Max Holloway)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Max Holloway)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Benoit Saint-Denis)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Benoit Saint-Denis)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Charles Oliveira)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Charles Oliveira)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Justin Gaethje)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Arman Tsarukyan)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Max Holloway)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Max Holloway)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Benoit Saint-Denis)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Benoit Saint-Denis)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Charles Oliveira)

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Charles Oliveira)

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