Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket contract on the price of Solana during a five-minute window. According to the provider's rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T12:05:00.000Z [1]. The title gives the window as 8:00AM-8:05AM ET, which matches that UTC end time under Eastern Daylight Time. The end time is the listed close, not a confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-27T17:32:53.904Z [1]. These are different times from the contract's listed close. The prices below describe the saved observation only, not live trading.
The saved sample contains one market with two outcomes. "Up" was priced at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not show trade sizes, order book depth, or liquidity, so no conclusion about how easily a position could be entered is supported.
The sample is complete for this provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The evidence does not show that other platforms list comparable contracts, so no cross-platform comparison is made here. A different contract with a different window or wording should not be treated as the same bet, even if its price looks similar.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, and it does not report trader counts or recent news. It also does not show the Solana price at the start of the window or any TWAP value, so the outcome cannot be projected from this snapshot. Readers should check the current contract page and the Chainlink data stream directly, since this retrieval is dated 2026-10-27 and may no longer match live prices.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto price contract on Polymarket, titled "Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET." The provider's rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract therefore asks whether the average price over the five-minute window ends up at or above the starting level, rather than whether the price is higher at a single moment. The resolution source is specified as Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream, described in the rules as "information from Chainlink" [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the SOL/USD pair, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Prices from other exchanges or spot venues therefore do not determine the outcome under these rules, even if they move differently. The provider lists the event as active with an end time of 2026-10-28T12:05:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed end time of the contract, not a separate announcement or a confirmed resolution. The saved snapshot shows the two outcomes, Up and Down, with the provider reporting the market as active at the time it was recorded.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the Solana to US dollar price over a fixed window, as defined by Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. Because the outcome compares the window's average with the price at the start of the window, a move that is small or brief can still produce a different result than a simple end-to-end price comparison. Anyone reading a price for this contract should keep in mind that a displayed price reflects a snapshot from the saved record, not an executable quote, and that trading volume or a list of outcomes does not by itself describe how deep the market is.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about the price according to that stream and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The listed end time in the provider record is 2026-10-28T12:05:00.000Z, and the title gives the window as 8:00AM to 8:05AM ET on October 28 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.