Snapshot observed 2026-11-07T12:00:06.749Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event is a single Kalshi event for the Arizona vs Seattle game, which was "originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026" [1]. Each market asks whether a named quarterback reaches a passing touchdown threshold. The Drew Lock markets resolve Yes if he records the stated number of passing touchdowns, and the Gardner Minshew II markets use the same structure [1].

The rules include settlement details that affect how a reader should interpret the contracts. If a player is active but never appears in a live play, "the market settles to the fair market price before game start" [1]. Once a player appears in a live play, "the market settles based on passing touchdowns recorded," even if a play is "nullified by penalty" [1]. The market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].

The provider lists the event as active, and its excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The market records carry an endDate of 2026-11-10T21:25:00Z, but that field is a provider close time, not a confirmed game time or resolution time.

Reading the snapshot

The prices come from an observation at 2026-11-07T12:00:06Z, while the evidence was retrieved at 2026-11-07T19:41:59Z [1]. These values describe that earlier snapshot only. They are not live quotes and should not be treated as executable prices or verified probabilities.

Within this snapshot, the Yes prices were: Drew Lock 1+ at 0.815, Gardner Minshew II 1+ at 0.65, Drew Lock 2+ at 0.485, Gardner Minshew II 2+ at 0.285, Drew Lock 3+ at 0.195, Gardner Minshew II 3+ at 0.07, and Drew Lock 4+ at 0.045 [1]. Higher thresholds carry lower Yes prices, which matches the wording of each contract. The sample covers one platform only, and no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.

Volume is not included in the excerpt, so these prices cannot be read as liquidity or as a count of traders.

What remains uncertain

The coverage record reports 7 total markets and 7 included markets, with no partial sample [1]. That supports reading this as the complete saved set for this provider event. It does not show that the provider lists every possible outcome in the real game, so omitted outcomes should not be assumed to be less likely.

The evidence does not explain why any price is at its level, does not report recent team or player news, and does not establish any historical accuracy. It also does not confirm the actual number of passing touchdowns or whether the game was played as scheduled. Readers should check the provider's current rules and status before drawing conclusions.

References

1. Kalshi: Arizona vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-11-07T12:00:06.749Z.