GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actress

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Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actress

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markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

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14 markets tracked

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

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Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	17%
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	14%
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	12%
Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	8%
Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	6%
Will Parker Posey win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	5%
Will Zendaya win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	5%
Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	3%
Will Tie win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Margaret Qualley win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Danielle Deadwyler win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Betty Gilpin win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

17%

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$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

In 2027 If X has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actress
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2027

If X has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zendaya has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zendaya win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tie win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sandra Hüller win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Parker Posey win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Margaret Qualley win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Danielle Deadwyler win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Betty Gilpin win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actress

Volume$0.00

Markets14

14 of 14

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KALSHI

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

If Anne Hathaway has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associa

KALSHI

Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

If Penélope Cruz has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associa

KALSHI

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

If Inde Navarrette has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any assoc

KALSHI

Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

If Mariana di Girolamo has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any a

KALSHI

Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

If Gemma Chan has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/YlpfBB" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actress"></iframe>

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Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actress

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Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actress

Markets (14)

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

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Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actress

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Mariana di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

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