Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

Each contract in this snapshot asks whether James Cook's rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season will reach a listed threshold. The source says the market "will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing yards James Cook records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number" [1]. If Cook does not play in the season for any reason, the market resolves to "No" [1].

The rules also cover edge cases. If the season is shortened, truncated, or ends early, the outcome is determined from official data for completed games [1]. If the season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the yardage cannot be determined, the market resolves to "50-50" [1]. The stated resolution source is official NFL information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

Timing fields differ. Each market lists an end date of 2027-01-12T23:59:00.000Z, while the event's listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. These are not the same field, and neither is a confirmed resolution date. Readers should treat the listed close time as the value shown in the provider data, not as a prediction of when the season or the market will settle.

Reading the snapshot

The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T05:39:29Z [1]. They describe that observation only. They are not live quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities.

The saved Yes prices for the five thresholds are: 849.5+ at 0.955, 1,049.5+ at 0.80, 1,249.5+ at 0.56, 1,449.5+ at 0.54, and 1,649.5+ at 0.215. Each threshold is a separate contract, so each price should be read against its own wording. The sample includes all five saved markets for this one event and is not marked as partial. That does not establish that the provider lists every possible threshold, so the absence of other thresholds should not be read as implying anything about their prices.

Prices should not be averaged across thresholds or combined with other platforms. Differences between contracts reflect different thresholds and wording, not a trading opportunity by themselves.

What remains uncertain

The evidence contains no volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show how deep or active these markets are. It also gives no explanation for why prices sit where they do, and no recent news or reporting about Cook or the season. The snapshot covers one platform only, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Because the rules include a "50-50" outcome, the contracts are not purely binary, which affects how the Yes and No prices should be understood.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: James Cook 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Yards. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.