Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market is titled "Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET" [1]. Its stated rule is that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the provider states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A comparison with another platform's Solana contract would therefore only be meaningful if that contract used the same data source, window, and comparison rule. Titles alone do not establish that.
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T22:20:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time from the provider, not an announced event or a confirmed resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T20:43:03.360Z [1]. The prices below describe the observation time, not the retrieval time:
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They do not show the depth available to trade, and the saved record includes no volume figure, so this sample cannot speak to liquidity or the number of participants.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. That describes the saved provider event only. It does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome for this window.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and this summary does not infer a cause. It also does not show whether the price has changed since observation. The saved status is "active" at the time of the provider record [1], but the evidence does not confirm the status now.
Because the observation time precedes the retrieval time by about two hours and forty minutes, readers should treat the prices as a historical snapshot. Comparing these prices with any contract on a different platform would require matching the asset, data source, window, and resolution rules first.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window Solana price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET" [1]. The market asks whether the price of Solana, measured in U.S. dollars, will finish its window at or above where it started. The source states that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract is tied to one specific data feed. The source names Chainlink as the resolution source and points to its SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. It also states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream and not any other source or spot market [1]. Outcomes therefore depend on that feed's readings, which can differ from prices quoted elsewhere. The snapshot available for this article shows two outcomes, Up and Down, with the observation taken at 18:00 UTC on October 31, 2026 [1]. These figures are points in time. They are not executable quotes, and they do not indicate how the market is trading now. The source lists the market's end time as 22:20 UTC on October 31, 2026, and the provider status as active at the time of retrieval [1]. That end time is a contract rule, and it does not describe an event that has been announced or has occurred.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Solana's price over one short window, as defined by a specific time-weighted average from Chainlink's SOL/USD data stream [1]. Because the reference is an average over the window compared with the starting price, the result depends on the feed's readings across the interval rather than on a single price at the end. The rules state that only this Chainlink stream is used, so a reader should check that feed when interpreting the outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an Up outcome mean for this contract?
According to the rules, the market resolves to Up if the TWAP of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What determines a Down outcome?
The market resolves to Down if the TWAP does not meet the Up condition, meaning it is below the price at the beginning of the range [1].
Which price data is used to resolve the market?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and the market is about that stream rather than other sources or spot markets [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.