Sukhothai vs Rasisalai United: Total Goals
K 3.5K contracts
1
6
Sukhothai vs Rasisalai United: Total Goals
K 3.5K contracts
1
6
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 3.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
SUK vs RAS (Oct 17) If over X goals are scored in the Sukhothai vs Rasisalai United professional Thai League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers six Kalshi markets within one event, "Sukhothai vs Rasisalai United: Total Goals." Each market asks whether a total-goals threshold will be exceeded, from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals. The rules state that if over X goals are scored in the "professional Thai League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Extra time and penalties therefore do not count toward the totals. The rules also say the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].
The listed close time in the market data is 2026-10-19T11:00:00.000Z for every market [1]. The provider's status line says "Listed end time: not supplied," so this field should be read as a listed close time in the snapshot, not as the match date or an announced resolution date.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T21:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T01:47:28Z [1]. They describe the market at those times only. The Yes prices were 0.935 for over 0.5, 0.805 for over 1.5, 0.555 for over 2.5, 0.355 for over 3.5, 0.19 for over 4.5, and 0.085 for over 5.5 [1]. Each Yes price moves in the same direction as its threshold: a higher line has a lower quoted Yes price.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume is not included here, so the data says nothing about liquidity. The figures do not show why any price is where it is.
Coverage is complete for this provider event: 6 of 6 markets are included and the sample is not partial [1]. Because the thresholds are separate contracts, their prices should be read individually and not averaged or combined into a single figure.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers only the saved Kalshi event. The source states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. No other platform's prices or contract wording are included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence. Differences in price between contracts with different wording or close times should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity.
The evidence does not include the match result, team news, or the final resolution. It also does not state whether the listed close time reflects when trading stops.
References
- Kalshi: Sukhothai vs Rasisalai United: Total Goals. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event on total goals in a Thai League 1 match between Sukhothai and Rasisalai United, scheduled for October 17, 2026 according to the contract rules [1]. The event contains a set of separate yes or no contracts, each asking whether the match will produce more than a stated number of goals. The rules say that if over X goals are scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each threshold is therefore its own contract with its own price. The rules also state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider status is listed as active, but the provider's listed end time was not supplied [1]. The contract's end date field in the saved market data is October 19, 2026 at 11:00 UTC, which is a field value in the market record and should not be read as an announced match or resolution time [1]. The only other saved source is a Wikipedia article about the 2021 to 2022 season of Samut Prakan City F.C. [2]. That article concerns a different club and does not describe this fixture, so it adds no information about the match or the contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific match produces more goals than a chosen threshold, counted over regulation time including stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from the count [1]. Because the rules tie resolution to that window, the outcome depends on goals scored in regulation play rather than on the final result or a later stage of the match. The saved market prices give a snapshot of how the contracts were priced at the observation time. For the over 0.5 contract, the Yes price was 0.935 and the No price was 0.065. For over 1.5, Yes was 0.805 and No was 0.195. For over 2.5, Yes was 0.555 and No was 0.445. For over 3.5, Yes was 0.355 and No was 0.645. For over 4.5, Yes was 0.19 and No was 0.81. For over 5.5, Yes was 0.085 and No was 0.915 [1]. These figures are snapshots taken at the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The saved sample includes all six markets for this event, so no thresholds were omitted from the data, though the provider does not claim its list covers every possible outcome. The prices reflect different thresholds on the same match, so they should not be compared as if they were alternative bets on one outcome. A difference between two contracts' prices is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity. Trading volume is not included in the figures discussed here and should not be read as a measure of liquidity or trader count.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does an over goals contract resolve?
The rules state that if over X goals are scored in the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to Yes. Extra time and penalties are not included [1].
Do extra time or penalties count toward the total?
No. The contract rules exclude extra time and penalties from the goal count [1].
Does the market have a separate contract for each goal threshold?
Yes. The saved event includes separate markets asking whether over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 and 5.5 goals will be scored [1].
Are the prices the probability that a match will have more goals?
Not necessarily. The saved prices are snapshots at the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Is the Kalshi event connected to the league?
The provider states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
