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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Name: What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
End: 2026-05-05T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$38.12K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Vol

$38.12K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $38.12K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $38.12K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Poly	80%
Will "Unchosen" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Poly	10%
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Poly	7%
Will "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Poly	1%
Will "Million Dollar Secret: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Poly	1%
Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Poly	0%
Will "Hulk Hogan: Real American" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Poly	0%
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Poly	0%
Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$38.12K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 5, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.

The ranking is base"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $38.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.46)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "Unchosen" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $29.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $754
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "Hulk Hogan: Real American" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $777
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will "Million Dollar Secret: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $828
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $798
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture