ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market is a short-window "Up or Down" contract on ZCash, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET" [1]. Its rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this with a ZCash price on another exchange or data feed should expect different outcomes to be possible, because the contract uses only this stream.
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T22:15:00.000Z [1]. The title's Eastern Time window and the listed UTC end time are both provided in the evidence, and readers should rely on the listed end time when checking when the window closes.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T20:29:16.003Z [1]. These are two different times. The prices describe the market at the observation time, not at retrieval, and this snapshot should not be read as a live quote.
At observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the two prices are equal, the snapshot shows no difference between the two outcomes at that moment.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, with no partial sampling and no omitted outcomes [1]. Because the contract is binary, the two listed outcomes are the full set for this market. No volume or trader count appears in the evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price after 18:00:05 UTC, so it cannot say where the market stands now. The provider status was "active" when the source was retrieved [1], but the evidence does not state the final TWAP, the starting price for the window, or the resolved outcome. The actual resolution is therefore unknown from this material.
The evidence also gives no reason for any price level and no information about other ZCash contracts or platforms.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract is a short-window crypto price market on ZCash (ZEC) against U.S. dollars. It is listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET" and sits in the Crypto category [1]. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, identified in the contract rules as the 60-second TWAP stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price shown in that Chainlink data stream and not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader therefore needs to understand how that specific feed calculates its average, not simply where ZEC trades on exchanges. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-31T22:15:00.000Z, which matches the 6:15PM ET end of the window named in the title [1]. That end time is a contract rule. It describes when the window closes and does not by itself confirm when or how the market was settled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZEC's Chainlink TWAP over one fifteen-minute window. Because the test compares the average over the window with the price at its start, the outcome depends on the path of the average rather than only the price at the final moment [1]. This makes the rules central to reading the contract: a move that appears in one exchange feed but not in the Chainlink TWAP stream would not decide the outcome under the stated terms [1]. Prices shown for such a contract express market views about the stated Up or Down outcomes. They are snapshots at the time they were recorded and are not guaranteed executable prices or verified probabilities. Trading volume also does not by itself indicate depth or the number of participants.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" resolution mean for this market?
The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of ZCash over the 6:00PM to 6:15PM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price feed decides the outcome?
The outcome is decided by Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say other sources or spot markets do not count [1].
When does the contract window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T22:15:00.000Z, which corresponds to the end of the 6:15PM ET window named in the title [1].
Does the Chainlink feed use the price at a single moment?
No. The contract uses a time-weighted average price over the range, compared with the price at the beginning of that range [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
