Solana Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single short-window contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET" on Polymarket [1]. Its rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on a different Solana price source, a spot exchange, or a different time window would not measure the same thing, even if its title looks similar.
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:30:00.000Z [1]. That is the close recorded by the provider, not an announced resolution date, and the evidence does not show the actual resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:04:55Z [1]. These are two different times, and the figures describe the earlier observation, not live conditions at the time you read this.
At observation, the saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The market was recorded with status "active" [1]. The sample covers one market from one provider event, with no omitted markets, so no other outcome or comparison is in scope.
The two prices sum to 1.00, so the snapshot does not show a separate third outcome. The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot tell you how deep the market is or how many participants are behind these prices.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and this analysis does not attribute any movement to news or events. It also does not show the Solana price at the start of the window or any result after the listed end time.
Because the record is an hour older than its retrieval time, any status shown in it may have changed. Anyone comparing this contract with a similar one on another platform should check that the rules, time window, and price source match before reading the prices side by side.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term Polymarket contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET." The contract asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will rise or fall over a five-minute window. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution data comes from a specific feed. The source identifies it as the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink [1]. The contract states that it concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not the price reported by any other source or by spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as tied to that one data feed, not to Solana's price as quoted across exchanges generally. The event is listed as active in the saved provider record, with a listed end time of 2026-10-20T02:30:00.000Z [1]. That end time is the point in the contract's rules at which the range closes. It is not a record of when the market was resolved.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the SOL/USD price in one defined feed over one short window. Its wording makes the rule explicit. The outcome depends on whether the Chainlink TWAP across the window is at or above the price at the start of the window, so the comparison is between an average and a starting reference rather than a single closing print [1]. This makes the contract a narrow test of short-term direction under a stated methodology. Readers should keep the feed-specific rule in mind when comparing it to other Solana price information. The saved market snapshot shows an Up price of 0.505 and a Down price of 0.495 at the time of retrieval [1]. These are snapshot prices from a provider record. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The saved record covers this one market for the event, and no other outcomes are shown.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How is the outcome of this contract decided?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source does the contract use?
The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The contract says it is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
What does the listed end time mean?
The saved record lists an end time of 2026-10-20T02:30:00.000Z [1]. The listed end time is a rule-based closing time for the contract, not evidence that the outcome has been announced.
Do the displayed prices show the chance that Solana goes up?
The saved snapshot shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are provider-observed prices at one moment, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.