Top Text to Image AI this week
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11
Top Text to Image AI this week
K 0 contracts
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is SpaceXAI at 49.5%.
Kalshi
- SpaceXAI49.5%
- Reve49.5%
- Recraft49.5%
- OpenAI49.5%
- Nvidia49.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
11
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
On Nov 6, 2026 If X is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/, the number of candidates tied, rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "Top Text to Image AI this week" and is listed on Kalshi [1]. Its rules state that if X is the #1 model on the Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on October 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each market in the snapshot names a different candidate in place of X, such as Nvidia, OpenAI, or Google [1].
The rules also set tie handling. Tied rankings follow the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology. If none exists, tied entities share the highest rank among them. If several candidates tie for a rank, their contracts resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down [1]. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
The provider lists the event as active and states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The market records show an endDate of 2026-10-30T14:00:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is a listed field, not a confirmed result, and the resolution itself depends on the leaderboard ranking at the stated time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-27T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 06:03:12Z the same day [1]. These are snapshot values only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they may have changed since retrieval.
All 11 saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not marked partial [1]. Within this one Kalshi event, Yes prices range from 0.325 for SpaceXAI to 0.44 for Nvidia, Krea, Recraft, OpenAI, and HiDream [1]. Microsoft is 0.415, Google and Black Forest Labs are 0.41, Reve is 0.385, and Bytedance is 0.355 [1].
These figures compare different candidates within one contract family. They do not show a single probability that a model will win, and no average across candidates is meaningful. The snapshot contains no explanation for why any price is where it is, and no evidence about trading activity.
What remains uncertain
The source does not supply volume, trader counts, or any reason for price movement. It also does not state whether the listed sample covers every model that could rank first. The saved snapshot only includes these providers and events [1].
The timing also needs care. The rule refers to 10:00am ET on October 30, 2026, while the endDate field shows 14:00 UTC [1]. The rules do not confirm the time zone conversion in the record, so readers should check the official Kalshi listing before relying on the close time.
Finally, the leaderboard named in the rules is the resolution source, and the snapshot does not show its current standing [1].
References
- Kalshi: Top Text to Image AI this week. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This article covers a Kalshi contract titled "Top Text to Image AI this week" that asks which text-to-image model will rank first on a specified leaderboard. The contract is tied to a single date, October 30, 2026. Under its rules, if the named model is the number one model on the Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard at 10:00am ET on October 30, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The provider's listed event date is October 30, 2026, and the provider lists its status as active [1]. The market data gives an end date field of 2026-10-30 at 14:00 UTC, which is the timestamp the platform records for the market, not a separate announced event [1]. The contract also sets out how ties are handled. If tied rankings occur, the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology applies. If no such methodology exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them [1]. When several candidates are tied for a given rank, their contracts resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down [1]. The rules also state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. Each market in the saved event is a separate contract for one named model or company, and each shows Yes and No outcomes [1]. The saved snapshot includes eleven markets, covering names such as Nvidia, Krea, Recraft, OpenAI, HiDream, Microsoft, Google, Black Forest Labs, Reve, Bytedance and SpaceXAI [1]. In the snapshot, Yes prices range from 0.325 to 0.44, and the No prices are the complementary values shown in the same records [1]. These are observed values from one saved provider snapshot. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the price of one contract is not a reason to expect a difference in another contract. The contract is not affiliated with the leaderboard publisher. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League, and that trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow, rule-defined outcome: which model is ranked first on the Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard at a specified time on October 30, 2026 [1]. It does not ask about image quality in general, the broader market for generative tools, or any other ranking. Text-to-image models are one form of generative AI, a field described as using generative models to produce text, images, video, audio, code and other digital data from learned patterns in training data [2]. The contract's resolution depends on the leaderboard's ranking at its stated time and on the tie rules, so the leaderboard's own methodology and timing shape the outcome more than general reputation does [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for the market to resolve to Yes?
The named model must be the number one model on the Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on October 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET [1].
What happens if two or more models are tied?
If the publisher has an official tie-breaking methodology, that method is used. If none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. When several candidates are tied for a rank, their contracts resolve to $1 divided by the number tied, rounded down [1].
Is Kalshi connected to the leaderboard publisher?
No. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].
Does a price of 0.44 mean a model has a 44 percent chance of ranking first?
The saved price is a snapshot from the provider's event data, not a verified probability or an executable quote [1].
Can the market close before October 30, 2026?
The rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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