Pro Football: Josh Allen 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns
PM $11.0K
1
5
Pro Football: Josh Allen 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns
PM $11.0K
1
5
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 18.5+ passing TDs at 86.5%.
Polymarket
- 18.5+ passing TDs86.5%
- 21.5+ passing TDs69.5%
- 24.5+ passing TDs61.5%
- 27.5+ passing TDs33.5%
- 30.5+ passing TDs19.6%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $11.0K
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Josh Allen records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Josh Allen does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Josh Allen recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T00:00:06.191Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event is titled "Pro Football: Josh Allen 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns" [1]. Each market asks whether Josh Allen will record at least a listed number of passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The source says the market "will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Josh Allen records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number" [1].
The rules also set several special cases. If Allen does not play in the season for any reason, the market resolves to "No" [1]. If the season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or cannot be determined, the market resolves to "50-50" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That instant matches 11:59 PM ET on January 26, 2027, under standard Eastern time, so the listed close and the rule cutoff line up. Neither is an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-18T00:00:06.191Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-18T00:30:27.716Z [1]. These are snapshot times, not confirmation of current prices.
All five markets from this event are included, and the sample is complete for this event: 5 of 5 markets, with no partial sample [1]. The Yes prices are 0.85 for 18.5 or more, 0.74 for 21.5 or more, 0.675 for 24.5 or more, 0.325 for 27.5 or more, and 0.1205 for 30.5 or more [1]. In this snapshot, Yes prices fall as the touchdown threshold rises. Each market's No price is the complement of its Yes price [1].
These figures are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show how deep these markets are.
What remains uncertain
The evidence covers one provider event on one platform. No other platform is supplied, so these prices cannot be compared with other contracts. Differences in wording or close times across platforms would need their own rule text before any comparison.
The sample warning states that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome [1]. The excerpt also does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it contains no recent news about Allen or the season. The markets are listed as active, so they have not resolved [1]. Resolution will rely on official NFL information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
References
- Polymarket: Pro Football: Josh Allen 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T00:00:06.191Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTCOverview
PredictPedia's contract asks whether Josh Allen will record a stated number of passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The event has five threshold markets, asking whether he will have 18.5, 21.5, 24.5, 27.5, or 30.5 or more passing touchdowns. Each threshold is a separate yes-or-no contract. The provider rules say a market resolves to "Yes" if the count "equals or exceeds the listed number" and to "No" otherwise [1]. The rules also cover cases where the threshold is not reached through a normal season. If Allen does not play in the 2026-27 regular season for any reason, the market resolves to "No" [1]. If the season is shortened, truncated, or ends early, the outcome is determined from available official data for completed games [1]. If the season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or the passing touchdown count cannot be determined for that period, the market resolves to "50-50" [1]. The resolution source is official information from the NFL, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That is a contract closing time written in the rules. It is not an announced date for any game or event. Allen is the quarterback for the Buffalo Bills [2]. The markets concern his individual passing production, not the Bills' overall results.
Historical Context
Allen's career background is described in a Wikipedia entry. The source says he was a lightly recruited high school prospect who began college football with the Reedley Tigers before transferring to the Wyoming Cowboys, and that the Bills selected him seventh overall in the 2018 NFL draft [2]. This is historical background. It does not describe his 2026-27 season, which had not been played at the time of the provider snapshot. The passing touchdown statistic itself has a record-keeping history. One source explains that a passing touchdown occurs when a pass results in a touchdown by being caught and advanced into the end zone, or caught within its boundaries [3]. It also says the league record books recognize passing touchdown leaders from the American Football League, which operated from 1960 to 1969 before merging with the NFL in 1970 [3]. The same source says that in 2025 the league announced it would acknowledge records from the All-American Football Conference, which operated from 1946 to 1949 before merging with the NFL in 1950 [3].
Why It Matters
Each market measures a single count: how many passing touchdowns Allen records in the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. The different thresholds let the contracts reflect different levels of production. A higher threshold requires more passing touchdowns to resolve "Yes" [1]. The passing touchdown is a recorded statistic in football games [3], so the contract depends on official game records rather than on overall team success. The contract also depends on Allen playing. Because a missed season for any reason resolves to "No" [1], a market can be affected by availability as well as performance. The 50-50 rule for cancellation or postponement [1] means the contract does not treat every non-completion the same way. The prices shown on the platform are snapshots of trading activity at one point in time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and a price difference between thresholds does not by itself show an opportunity.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-18 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts toward the Yes outcome?
A market resolves to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Josh Allen records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed threshold [1]. Passing touchdowns are a recorded game statistic [3].
What happens if Allen does not play?
The provider rules say that if Josh Allen does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the market resolves to "No" [1].
What happens if the season is shortened or ends early?
The outcome is determined using available official data for completed games [1].
What happens if the season is cancelled or postponed?
If the season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the passing touchdown count cannot be determined for that timeframe, the market resolves to "50-50" [1].
Who determines the result?
The resolution source is official information from the NFL, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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