Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors | PredictPedia

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11 markets tracked

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will any golfer finish top 10?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will any golfer finish top 10?	Kalshi	42%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?	Kalshi	32%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Xander Schauffele finish top 10?	Kalshi	20%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Rory McIlroy finish top 10?	Kalshi	19%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Cameron Young finish top 10?	Kalshi	16%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Justin Rose finish top 10?	Kalshi	12%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Collin Morikawa finish top 10?	Kalshi	12%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Sam Burns finish top 10?	Kalshi	7%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Max Homa finish top 10?	Kalshi	7%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Russell Henley finish top 10?	Kalshi	6%
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 10?	Kalshi	5%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, April 19, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 all 4 golf major tournaments

If X finishes top 10, including ties, in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. X golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Max Homa finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Max Homa finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Sam Burns finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Cameron Young finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Xander Schauffele finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Rory McIlroy finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Russell Henley finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Justin Rose finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Collin Morikawa finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will any golfer finish top 10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

16¢

Kalshi

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Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors

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All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will any golfer finish top 10?

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Events (1)

Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors

Markets (11)

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will any golfer finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will any golfer finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Xander Schauffele finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Xander Schauffele finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Rory McIlroy finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Rory McIlroy finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Cameron Young finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Cameron Young finish top 10?

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All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will any golfer finish top 10?

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Top 10 Finisher in All 4 Golf Majors

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will any golfer finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will any golfer finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Scottie Scheffler finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Xander Schauffele finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Xander Schauffele finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Rory McIlroy finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Rory McIlroy finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Cameron Young finish top 10?

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Cameron Young finish top 10?

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