Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: RBIs
K 110.02 contracts
1
22
Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: RBIs
K 110.02 contracts
1
22
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Junior Caminero: 1+ at 32%.
Kalshi
- Junior Caminero: 1+32%
- William Contreras: 1+28.5%
- Jake Bauers: 1+28.5%
- Jackson Chourio: 1+28%
- Yandy Díaz: 1+25%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 110.02 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
22
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
TB vs MIL (Oct 24) If Yandy Díaz records X RBIs in Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Yandy Díaz is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Yandy Díaz starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Yandy Díaz is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market. If Yandy Díaz is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on RBIs recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event asks whether a named player records a stated number of RBIs in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT [1]. Each player market is a separate Yes or No contract with its own threshold, such as 1+ or 2+ RBIs [1]. The rules also set conditions based on lineup status. If a listed player is scratched or not in the starting lineup, the market "will resolve to the fair market price." The same applies if a starter records no plate appearance. A player who enters later as a pinch hitter does not have those at bats count toward the market [1]. Contracts with similar wording can therefore settle differently depending on how the game unfolds.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T04:43:22.583Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier moment, not current trading. Within the saved sample, Jackson Chourio 1+ RBIs has a Yes price of 0.31, Jake Bauers 1+ RBIs has 0.305, and Jonathan Aranda 1+ RBIs has 0.205 [1]. For the 2+ threshold, Jake Bauers is at 0.11 and Jackson Chourio at 0.105 [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. The saved event has 20 markets, and 12 are included, selected by Yes price and then volume [1]. Omitted markets are not shown to be priced lower, because they are simply absent from the saved data. Keep comparisons within this one event, and do not treat the 1+ and 2+ thresholds as the same outcome.
What remains uncertain
The market endDate field reads 2026-10-26T00:00:00.000Z, but the rules state that the market "will close and expire after the event occurs," and the listed end time is not supplied [1]. A date in contract rules is not an announced event date, so the saved data does not confirm when settlement will happen. The evidence also does not explain why any price sits where it does or how many traders hold each view. Volume here is not a measure of liquidity or trader count. Different contract prices are not an arbitrage opportunity merely because they differ.
References
- Kalshi: Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: RBIs. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a yes or no contract on whether a specific player records a set number of runs batted in (RBIs) in a Major League Baseball game between Tampa Bay and Milwaukee. The source lists the game as originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, and the contract rules state that the market resolves to Yes if the named player reaches the threshold in that game [1]. The event is hosted on Kalshi, which is a provider listing that describes itself as not affiliated with the governing league [1]. The contract family in the saved snapshot covers multiple players and two thresholds. Some markets ask whether a player records at least one RBI, and others ask about at least two. The event record includes twenty markets in total, and twelve are included in this sample. Each included market shows a Yes price and a No price for the same outcome, and the two prices are complementary within each listed market [1]. The prices in this article are snapshots taken when the provider data was observed at 03:00 UTC on October 23, 2026. They are not live quotes and do not show what a trader could execute at any given moment. A price in this format is a reading from a single point in time, not a verified probability that the event will happen. Among the included markets, the highest Yes price in the snapshot belongs to Jackson Chourio for one or more RBIs, at 0.31, followed closely by Jake Bauers at 0.305 and William Contreras at 0.295 [1]. Those comparisons apply only within this one event and sample. Different contracts with different prices are not an arbitrage opportunity by themselves, because they measure different outcomes and are subject to different rules. The contract rules also specify how the market settles when a player does not play in the expected way. If a named player is scratched or left out of the starting lineup, the market resolves to the fair market price rather than to Yes or No. The same applies when a starter does not record a plate appearance. If a player is not in the starting lineup but enters later, the market also resolves to the fair market price, and pinch hit at bats do not count toward the market [1]. The market closes and expires after the event occurs [1].
Historical Context
The 2026 Milwaukee Brewers season was the 57th season for the franchise in Milwaukee and their 29th in the National League. The team improved on its previous season's record and franchise record, finishing 97-65 [3]. The 2026 Major League Baseball postseason began on September 29, and the source describes it as an ongoing playoff tournament at the time it was retrieved [2]. These sources describe background for the season and playoffs, but they do not confirm the status of this particular game.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single player's RBI total in one scheduled game. It gives a clear yes or no question tied to a specific box score statistic, and it links that question to the game's lineup and plate appearance rules [1]. Because settlement can resolve to a fair market price instead of Yes or No, the rules matter as much as the headline threshold. The market is useful for understanding how a narrow player prop is defined, how its listed prices are snapshots rather than executable quotes, and how partial samples should be read when only some markets from an event are shown [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require in this contract?
Under the rules, the market resolves to Yes if the named player records the stated number of RBIs in the scheduled Tampa Bay versus Milwaukee game [1]. The No side applies when the player does not reach that threshold under the settlement rules [1].
What happens if the named player is scratched?
If the player is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market resolves to the fair market price rather than to Yes or No [1].
Do pinch hit at bats count toward the RBI market?
No. If a player is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market resolves to the fair market price, and pinch hit at bats do not count toward the market [1].
Are the prices in this article probabilities?
No. The prices are snapshots from a single observation time and are not verified probabilities or executable quotes. They should be read as the listed price at that moment only, without assuming a current or future value.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
