Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The market is titled "Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET" [1]. Its rule is that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rule states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a different Solana market should check whether it uses the same data stream, averaging method, and window. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z [1], which corresponds to 1:45AM ET on October 20.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:12:02.357Z [1]. The status was "active" at that time. These are the only time points in the evidence, so this record should not be read as a live quote.
The saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small in this record. The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. Coverage shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one market was saved, no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do. It also does not show the price of Solana at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the eventual resolution. The provider notes that its listing does "not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1], so a binary Up and Down pair here should not be read as a complete field of outcomes.
Anyone using this snapshot should check the provider page for a later observation before drawing conclusions about the market's current state.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Solana, titled "Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET" and listed in the Crypto category [1]. According to the saved provider text, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract is tied to one specific data feed. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as a question about that feed's reading, not about Solana's price on any particular exchange. The provider lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z [1]. The timestamps in this entry serve different purposes. The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, the source retrieval time is 2026-10-19T06:12:02.397Z, and the listed end time marks when the contract's window closes. None of the supplied sources report the resolved outcome, so the result is not known from this entry. The contract's end time is a rule-based closing time, not an announced event. The saved market snapshot shows "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 at the observation time [1]. These figures are snapshots of posted prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a direction over a fifteen-minute window, comparing the average Solana price across that window with the price at its start. Because the average is time-weighted, the result depends on the sequence of prices in the feed throughout the window, not only on the opening and closing readings [1]. Using a Chainlink data stream as the reference means the settlement follows that specific feed's values. Readers should not assume the result would match a price reported on another platform or exchange [1]. The short window also means the contract is sensitive to how the defined reference is measured. The title's time range and the provider's stated rule determine the outcome, so the exact terms matter more than general market commentary [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does this contract decide whether it resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink TWAP of Solana over the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The provider says the market is about that feed and not any other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the posted price show the chance that Solana goes up?
The saved snapshot shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 at the observation time [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as a confirmed chance of either result.
When does the contract's window close?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z, and the event is listed as active [1]. This is the closing time in the contract rules, not an announced event.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
PM $0
XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
PM $0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.