Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A price on another exchange or data feed would not determine this contract, so it should not be compared with other Solana markets as if the wording were the same.
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:50:00.000Z [1]. The title uses ET, and the evidence does not state the conversion, so readers should check the listed UTC close against their own time zone.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is timestamped 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:20:01.751Z [1]. These are the times to rely on. The prices below describe that earlier moment and do not show current conditions.
The saved prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, so the snapshot reflects close pricing between the two outcomes at that time. The evidence does not explain why the prices were where they were.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because only this event was saved, there is no cross-platform comparison here, and the prices should not be averaged with other contracts about Solana or other assets.
Volume is not part of this evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity or how many traders hold either side.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the Solana price at the start of the range, the TWAP during the range, or the final outcome. It also does not show whether the market has been updated since the saved snapshot. The source status at observation was "active" [1], but this does not confirm trading conditions at any later point.
Readers comparing this contract with a similar Solana market on another platform should first check the resolution source, the averaging method, the time window, and the listed close time. Differences in these terms can mean the contracts resolve differently even when their titles look alike.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term binary contract on Polymarket titled "Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET." The contract belongs to the crypto category and asks whether the price of Solana (SOL) will finish the five-minute window higher or lower than it started. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:50:00.000Z [1]. The contract's resolution rule is specific. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rule therefore compares an average over the window with the starting price, rather than a single price printed at the close. The named resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream, which the rules identify as a 60-second stream [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream and not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader reading the contract should therefore look at that specific feed, since prices on other exchanges or venues are not the reference. At the observation time recorded for this entry, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These figures are a snapshot taken at that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The contract's volume and trading activity are not reported here, so this entry makes no claim about how liquid the market is.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Solana's price over a short, fixed window, as reported by one specific data feed. Because the resolution compares the time-weighted average over the window against the price at the start of the window, a contract can resolve Up even if the price at the end of the window is below its starting level, as long as the average holds at or above that starting level [1]. The use of a TWAP stream rather than a single trade price is the central feature for anyone interpreting how the contract settles [1]. The contract also explicitly excludes other sources and spot markets, so price moves elsewhere do not determine the result [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the market is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the price shown for each outcome guarantee a probability?
No. The recorded Up price of 0.505 and Down price of 0.495 are snapshot values at the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.