Philadelphia vs New York R: 3rd Period Spread
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Philadelphia vs New York R: 3rd Period Spread
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals at 49.5%.
Kalshi
- Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals49.5%
- New York R wins by over 1.5 goals49.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
PHI at NYR (Nov 5) If X wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 3rd period, excluding overtime, of the Philadelphia vs New York R NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: 3rd period markets do not include overtime. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-04T09:00:05.985Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract covers a Philadelphia versus New York R NHL game that the rules describe as "originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026" [1]. Each market is limited to the third period, and the rules state that "3rd period markets do not include overtime" [1]. The two markets are titled "Philadelphia wins 3rd Period by over 1.5 goals" and "New York R wins 3rd Period by over 1.5 goals" [1]. They are separate contracts on opposite sides.
The rules also cover schedule changes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, "all markets will resolve to a fair price" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-04T09:00:05.985Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-04T11:51:47.574Z [1]. The prices describe the saved record from the observation time, not live trading. Both markets show a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Because the two contracts settle on different outcomes, their prices should be read separately. The Yes prices should not be averaged or merged into one estimate. The snapshot does not explain why the prices are equal.
Coverage is complete for this saved event. Two of two markets are included, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. The sample warning still applies: it states that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
The close date is less clear. The market records list an endDate of 2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z, but the event text says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The rules say the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The endDate field therefore should not be read as the game date or the settlement time.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not confirm that the game will be played on November 5, 2026. It only states the original schedule in the contract rules [1]. It contains no information on postponement, cancellation, the game's progress, or the official result. Trading volume, liquidity, and the number of participants are not supplied, so the prices cannot be read as a measure of market depth or consensus.
References
- Kalshi: Philadelphia vs New York R: 3rd Period Spread. Provider data observed 2026-11-04T09:00:05.985Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 4, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Philadelphia vs New York R: 3rd Period Spread," which concerns an NHL game between Philadelphia and New York R originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 [1]. The contract's rules state that the market resolves to Yes if the team named in a given market wins the third period by more than 1.5 goals, with overtime excluded from that period [1]. The saved event therefore asks a narrow question about one period of play rather than the final result of the game. The provider's rules also explain what happens if the game does not take place as scheduled. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result [1]. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the rules say all markets will resolve to a fair price [1]. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved market records show two contracts in this event, one for each team winning the third period by more than 1.5 goals [1]. Each contract lists a Yes and a No outcome. The listed prices are snapshots from the provider record and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The provider did not supply a listed end time for the event [1], so the end date stored in the market record should be read as a database field rather than a confirmed closing or event time.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether one team outscores the other by more than 1.5 goals in the third period of a specific NHL game, excluding overtime [1]. This makes it a narrow, period-specific question that is separate from the game's final score or overall winner. Because the rules spell out postponement and cancellation handling, the contract's outcome depends on both the in-period scoring margin and whether the game is played within the stated window [1]. Readers should keep these rule details separate from the price snapshot, since a price reflects the saved provider record at the time it was observed and does not establish how the market will settle.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-04 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Philadelphia vs New York R third period spread contract measure?
According to the provider rules, the market resolves to Yes if the team named in the market wins the third period by more than 1.5 goals, excluding overtime [1].
Does overtime count toward the third period result?
No. The provider notes that third period markets do not include overtime [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled?
If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the provider rules say all markets resolve to a fair price [1].
When does the market close?
The provider rules say the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The provider did not supply a listed end time for the event [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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K 0 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
