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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

NCAA Football: Iowa 2026 Win Total

Name: NCAA Football: Iowa 2026 Win Total
End: 2026-12-12T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.76

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

NCAA Football: Iowa 2026 Win Total

Vol

$14.76

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.76

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.76

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Iowa have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Iowa have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Poly	80%
Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Poly	75%
Will Iowa have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Poly	68%
Will Iowa have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Poly	49%
Will Iowa have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Poly	35%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$14.76

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other r

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NCAA Football: Iowa 2026 Win Total
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 12, 2026 (99 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.

If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other r

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCA"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15
* **Total Liquidity:** $795
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Iowa have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 12, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Iowa have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 12, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Iowa have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Iowa have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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