What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?
K 395 contracts
1
12
What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?
K 395 contracts
1
12
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Headwind at 90.5%.
Kalshi
- Headwind90.5%
- Amazon90%
- Oneworld89.5%
- Starlink89%
- Boeing87.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 395 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
12
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Jan 22, 2027 If X is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T15:00:06.250Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied excerpt describes a Kalshi event asking what Alaska Air will say during its next earnings call. Each contract resolves to Yes if the specified word or phrase is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative, including the call operator, during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including Q+A [1]. The excerpt says the exact phrase, or a plural or possessive form, counts, but grammatical or tense inflections do not [1]. Resolution uses video of the call, and if Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus from video, transcripts are used according to the news publications listed in the contract [1]. The excerpt also states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
The contract rules give "On Jan 22, 2027" as the event date [1]. The saved market records list an end date of April 22, 2027 at 16:30 UTC, while the excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The rules date is not an announced event date, and the evidence does not explain the difference between these dates. Readers should check the live listing before relying on any timing.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this event at 2026-10-29T15:00:06Z, and the material was retrieved at 2026-10-29T17:52:58Z [1]. These are snapshot times and do not describe current prices.
The sample includes all 12 saved Kalshi markets for this single event, so the sample is not partial [1]. Within this snapshot, Headwind has the highest Yes price at 0.905, followed by Amazon at 0.90 and Oneworld at 0.895 [1]. Tailwind has the lowest Yes price at 0.115 [1]. The saved sample does not include volume, so the data cannot show liquidity or the number of traders [1].
Each market uses a different word or phrase in its title, so the prices should be read as separate questions, not as one ranking of a shared outcome. The excerpt gives the general resolution rule but does not show a term-by-term definition for each parenthetical label, so the exact matching behavior for each word should be checked on the provider page [1]. Because all markets come from one provider event, no cross-platform comparison is possible here.
What remains uncertain
These prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. The saved event does not establish that the provider lists every word that could be said on the call. A lower price for an unlisted word would not be implied by this sample, and differences in price between separate contracts do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: What will Alaska Air say during their next earnings call?. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T15:00:06.250Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a mention market tied to Alaska Air Group, Inc. Its title asks what the company will say during its next earnings call. Under the contract rules, the market resolves to Yes if a specified word or phrase is said by any Alaska Air Group representative, including the operator of the call, during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer portion [1]. The contract lists the call's date as January 22, 2027 in its rules, but that is a date written into the contract, not confirmation of when the call will take place [1]. The contract includes a list of word or phrase markets. The saved records for this event cover twelve markets, each built around a different term, including topics such as tariffs, artificial intelligence, cargo, and oil or gasoline, along with several partner, brand, and product names [1]. Each market is a separate yes or no question about whether its own term is said. Because the terms are separate contracts, a price on one term says nothing about the others, and differences between prices do not by themselves show an opportunity to trade between them. The payout criteria are narrow. The exact word or phrase counts, and so does a plural or possessive form of it. Grammatical or tense inflections do not count [1]. A term that appears only in a changed grammatical form therefore would not satisfy a market written for the base word, under the rules as stated. The contract also says the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. Resolution is based on the video of the earnings call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using the video, the transcripts of the call will be used, following the news publications named in the contract [1]. The contract states that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the underlying company, and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. The saved market records give a close timestamp of April 22, 2027 at 16:30 UTC [1]. That is the contract's closing time as recorded by the provider, which is separate from the call date written in the rules and separate from the actual resolution time. Prices in the application are snapshots of the saved data and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific word or phrase is spoken during one earnings call by Alaska Air Group representatives, including the call operator and anyone speaking during the question-and-answer period [1]. It is useful for understanding how a mention market turns on the exact wording of its rules. The contract counts exact words and plural or possessive forms but excludes tense and grammatical changes, and it resolves from the call video with transcripts as a fallback [1]. Readers should check those rules before interpreting any term in the list.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What event does this contract depend on?
It depends on the next live Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer portion. The contract resolves to Yes if the named word or phrase is said by any Alaska Air Group representative during that event [1].
Do plural or possessive forms count?
Yes. The contract says the exact phrase or word, or a plural or possessive form of it, counts for payout. Grammatical or tense inflections do not count [1].
How is the outcome decided?
The contract says resolution uses the video of the earnings call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using the video, transcripts of the call are used, according to the news publications listed in the contract [1].
Does the date in the rules mean the call is scheduled for that day?
No. The rules list January 22, 2027 as the date of the event, but the supplied evidence does not confirm an announced call date. The saved market records separately list a close timestamp of April 22, 2027 at 16:30 UTC, which is the contract closing time [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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