Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied source describes a single Polymarket event about which team will hit more sixes in the Mpata versus Ntunda match in the Mukono Super Smash T20, which is listed as scheduled for 2026-07-30 [1]. The event has three markets: Mpata winner, Draw, and Ntunda winner. The Mpata and Ntunda contracts are decided by official six counts from the bat, and sixes from overthrows, extras, and super overs do not count [1]. A tie resolves to "Draw" [1].

The rules also set edge cases. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or completed without official sixes statistics, the market resolves "Draw" [1]. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market stays open until the fixture is completed and official statistics are available [1]. The listed end time is 2026-08-07T03:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed close time, not a record that the match was played or that any result was certified. The supplied evidence does not show whether the fixture was played, postponed, or resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T07:43:05.360Z [1]. It records all three markets as active, each with a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider. They are not executable quotes and not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, order books, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.

Because all three markets show identical prices, the snapshot does not distinguish between the outcomes. The sample covers all three saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The provider's saved event does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. Only one platform appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain the listed scheduling, the status of the match, or why the markets still show as active at the observation time, which falls after the listed end time. It also does not explain why prices are at 0.5. Readers should check the provider's live page and the official match record before drawing conclusions from this snapshot.

References

1. Polymarket: Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Ntunda - Most Sixes. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.