What will Robinhood say during their next earnings call?
K 26 contracts
1
16
What will Robinhood say during their next earnings call?
K 26 contracts
1
16
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Credit Card at 91.5%.
Kalshi
- Credit Card91.5%
- Robinhood Chain91%
- Perp / Perpetual89.5%
- Tokenization89%
- Acquired / Acquisition87%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 26 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
16
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Feb 9, 2027 If X Y Z is said by any Robinhood Markets, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Robinhood Markets, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of Robinhood Markets, Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of Robinhood Markets, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks what Robinhood will say during its next earnings call. Each market is a separate mention contract. The saved rules state that a market "will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No"" [1]. The stated resolution source is audio of the event [1].
The wording differs across the five markets. The "Prediction" contract and the "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" contract require 10 or more mentions [1]. The "Leverage," "Bitcoin," and "Weekend" contracts ask only whether the term is said during the earnings call, with no stated count [1]. A lower price on one contract should not be compared directly with another without accounting for these different conditions.
The saved listed end time is 2026-10-28T03:59:00.000Z. The rules describe the next earnings announcement as "currently scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET" [1]. The listed end time therefore falls several hours after the scheduled start. The evidence does not explain this difference.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-28T18:52:34.065Z [1]. The saved status was "active" [1]. These are snapshot values, not live or executable prices, and they should not be read as verified probabilities.
The saved Yes prices are: "Prediction" 0.995, "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 0.04, "Leverage" 0.005, "Bitcoin" 0.0045, and "Weekend" 0.0005 [1]. The coverage record shows all five saved markets for this provider event were included, with no partial sample [1]. That covers the saved event only. The sample warning states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world term.
All markets come from one platform and one event, so no cross-platform comparison is made here.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot was observed before the listed end time, and the retrieval time is later on the same day. The evidence contains no resolution result, no transcript, and no record of what was said on the call. This summary therefore cannot state which contracts resolved Yes or No.
The full contract rules are in a separate linked document that is not reproduced in the supplied excerpt [1]. Any details beyond the excerpt are not verified here. The prices may have changed since the observation time, so they should not be treated as current.
References
- Polymarket: What will Robinhood say during their next earnings call?. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
Robinhood Markets, Inc. is an American financial services company based in Menlo Park, California. Its trading platform covers stocks, exchange-traded funds, options, futures, event contracts on prediction markets, and cryptocurrency [2]. This contract is a mention market tied to the company's next earnings announcement [1]. The Polymarket event states that it resolves based on the next earnings announcement of Robinhood, which was scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET [1]. Each market in the event resolves to "Yes" if its listed term is mentioned by anyone during the event, and to "No" otherwise [1]. The stated resolution source is audio of the event [1]. The provider points to a separate document for full contract terms, so the summary here covers only the rules shown in the saved excerpt [1]. The timing is worth reading carefully. The saved snapshot was observed at 00:00 UTC on October 28, 2026 and retrieved shortly afterward [1]. The provider lists an end time of 03:59 UTC on October 28, 2026 [1]. That is a listed contract closing time. It is not a record of when the call happened, what was said, or how any market settled. The scheduled date in the rules describes the planned event and does not confirm that it took place as planned. The saved event contains five separate yes or no markets, each with its own term: "Prediction" said 10 or more times, "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" said 10 or more times, "Leverage", "Bitcoin", and "Weekend" [1]. The titles for the last three do not include a count, so the wording of each title should be read individually [1]. Each market's price is a snapshot from the observation time, not an executable quote, and the markets should be read separately rather than compared as one ranked field.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether specific words or phrases are said during Robinhood's scheduled earnings announcement, as judged from the event's audio [1]. Each market asks a narrow question about the spoken content of one call rather than about company results or financial performance [1]. The rule that a term counts if mentioned by anyone during the event means that remarks by any speaker count toward a Yes outcome [1]. Robinhood's own description of its business includes event contracts on prediction markets [2], which is background on the company and not evidence about what was said on this call.
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require in this contract?
According to the rule, a market resolves to Yes if its listed term is mentioned by anyone during the event [1]. Otherwise it resolves to No [1].
What source decides the outcome?
The stated resolution source is audio of the event [1].
Does the observed Yes price show the chance that a term was said?
The saved data gives a price observed at a specific time, and that observation is not a verified probability [1]. It also does not show how the markets resolved, because the saved evidence does not include a result.
Is the listed end time the same as the time of the call?
No. The provider lists an end time of 03:59 UTC on October 28, 2026 for the contract [1]. The scheduled call was listed for October 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET [1]. These are separate dates in the rules and do not establish when the call occurred.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
K 71.0K contracts
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?
K 1.0K contracts
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?
K 3.6K contracts
What will McDonald's say during their next earnings call?
K 12.5K contracts
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
K 576.54 contracts
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?
K 17.4K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
