BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name the resolution source as the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink and state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T14:40:00.000Z [1]. That is the provider's listed close, not an announced event or a confirmed resolution. The rules describe the price window in the title, so a reader should check the listed end time against the window when comparing this contract with others.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z, and PredictPedia retrieved the source at 2026-10-28T10:13:07.338Z [1]. The saved status was "active" at observation time [1]. Those are different moments, and the status may have changed since the observation.
At observation, the quoted prices were 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample covers one market from one event, and the coverage record marks it as complete for that event with no partial sample [1]. Because only two outcomes are saved, no other outcome is omitted from this contract.
The saved record does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so this snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each side. It also gives no reason for the price levels.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the current price, the current status, or the final result. It does not show whether the price window has started or ended relative to the retrieval time. Any reading of these prices applies only to the 09:00 UTC observation.
No other platform's BNB contract appears in the supplied evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Even if similar titles exist elsewhere, differences in wording, price source, or close time would have to be checked before comparing them.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval crypto price contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET", listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. According to the listed rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is based on a specific data feed rather than on any exchange or general market price. The rules name Chainlink as the resolution source and point to its BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price shown in that Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. This means the outcome depends on what that feed reports, which can differ from prices seen elsewhere. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-28T14:40:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the 10:35 to 10:40 AM ET window [1]. A listed end time identifies when the contract closes under its rules. It is not a record of when the outcome was determined, and this entry does not contain a resolution result. The saved snapshot shows the Up outcome at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495, with the provider status recorded as active [1]. These figures are prices at the time of the provider observation. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either outcome. The snapshot also does not report trading volume or how many participants were involved, so it says nothing about liquidity.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average BNB/USD price over a five-minute window, as reported by a specific Chainlink data stream, is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average over the window rather than a single closing price, a brief move near the end of the window may affect the result differently than it would under a simple start-to-finish comparison. The rules direct attention to the named data stream, so readers should check that feed rather than general market prices when interpreting the contract [1]. The listed prices show how the market was priced at one observed moment, which is useful for understanding how the contract was being valued at that time, but the figures are not a forecast or a guaranteed outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the 10:35 to 10:40 AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source does the contract use?
The rules name the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source. The contract says it concerns that feed and not other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the listed end time mean the outcome is known?
No. The listed end time of 2026-10-28T14:40:00Z marks when the contract window closes under its rules [1]. The supplied material does not report a resolution outcome.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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