Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions
K 26.0K contracts
1
78
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions
K 26.0K contracts
1
78
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 26.0K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
78
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
TEN vs IND (Oct 18) If Laquon Treadwell records X receptions in the Tennessee vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Laquon Treadwell in the Tennessee vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If Laquon Treadwell is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Laquon Treadwell takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on receptions recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This saved analysis is awaiting a background update. Its prices and claims may be outdated; compare them with the dated market data above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
These markets are on Kalshi and cover receptions in the Tennessee vs Indianapolis game. Each contract asks whether a named player reaches a stated reception threshold. The rules for Josh Downs read: "If Josh Downs records X receptions in the Tennessee vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The wording "originally scheduled" is quoted from the rules and is not evidence of a schedule change.
The rules also cover a player who is active but does not play. "If Josh Downs is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start." [1] Once a player takes a snap, "the market settles based on receptions recorded." [1] Readers should check these settlement terms before comparing any contracts.
The listed end time for each included market is 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z. The source excerpt separately states "Listed end time: not supplied," so the listed close time should be read as a market field rather than a confirmed game time. [1]
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:08:18.330Z. These are times of this saved record, not live prices. [1]
Each included contract has separate Yes and No prices. Within this sample, Wan'Dale Robinson 2+ receptions is listed at 0.91 Yes, and Carnell Tate 4+ receptions is listed at 0.665 Yes. [1] Contracts with different thresholds are different questions, so their prices should not be read as a ranking of the players' output.
The sample is partial. The record covers 12 of 72 markets for this event. [1] The selection method ranked markets by Yes price, highest first, then by volume. [1] Markets not included were not shown in this record, so their absence does not mean they priced lower. The counts describe this saved provider event only and are not a full field. Only one platform appears here, so no cross-platform comparison is made.
These prices are snapshots. They are not executable quotes, verified probabilities, or measures of trader count or liquidity. Volume is also not a measure of liquidity or of how many people traded. [1]
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and no reason for any movement is given. It also does not show how many traders hold each position or whether any price could be executed at the time a reader sees it.
The excerpt does not say whether Josh Downs or any other listed player will take a snap, and it contains no game-day news. Whether any market resolves depends on the game being played and the settlement terms above. [1] Readers should check the live provider page for current prices and rule updates.
References
- Kalshi: Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Kalshi market titled "Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions" that concerns a single player's reception count in a Tennessee versus Indianapolis Pro Football game that was originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 [1]. The rules state that if the named player records a specified number of receptions in that game, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each listed contract applies a different reception threshold to a player, so the event groups several separate yes-or-no questions about the same game. The contract includes a settlement rule for a player who is active but never takes a snap. In that case, the market settles to the fair market price before game start [1]. Once the player takes at least one snap, the market settles based on receptions recorded, and this applies even if a reception is nullified by a penalty [1]. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider's listed end time is not supplied in the rules, so the contract's closing date should not be read from the general market data alone. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or otherwise officially connected with the governing league, and that trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners [1].
Historical Context
The Indianapolis Colts, one of the teams in this game, completed the 2025 season with an 8-9 record, matching their previous year's record [3]. The 2025 season was their 73rd in the National Football League and the first under split ownership among the three daughters of owner Jim Irsay, who died on May 21, 2025 [3]. Background on the Colts' 2025 season does not establish anything about the October 2026 game or the contract's outcome. The Wikipedia article on Marvin Harrison describes a former Colts wide receiver who played a 13-year career with the franchise [2], but that profile does not bear on the rules of this contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures one player's receiving output in a single scheduled game. Its value depends on whether the player reaches the stated reception threshold, and the settlement rules determine what happens if the player is active but never takes a snap [1]. Because the contract references a game originally scheduled for a specific date, the contract rules describe how the market is structured rather than confirming when the game was played or whether it took place as scheduled [1]. The market's price reflects a snapshot of how traders valued each threshold at the time it was observed, and it is not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a receptions contract to resolve to Yes?
The rules say that if the named player records the specified number of receptions in the Tennessee versus Indianapolis game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1].
What happens if the named player is active but never takes a snap?
The market settles to the fair market price before game start in that situation [1].
Does a catch that is nullified by a penalty count?
Once the player takes at least one snap, the market settles based on receptions recorded, even if a reception is nullified by penalty [1].
When does the market close?
The rules say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider's listed end time is not supplied in the rules.
Is Kalshi affiliated with the league?
Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
