Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Bussana - Toss Match Double
PM $0
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Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Bussana - Toss Match Double
PM $0
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is MPA at 50%.
Polymarket
- MPA50%
- Draw50%
- BUS50%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Mpata and Bussana scheduled for 2026-07-28 in Mukono Super Smash T20. The outcome corresponding to Mpata will be considered correct if Mpata is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Bussana will be considered correct if Bussana is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket event on a cricket match between Mpata and Bussana in the Mukono Super Smash T20 competition. The contract tracks a combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result. A Mpata outcome resolves as correct only if Mpata is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match, and the Bussana outcome works the same way for Bussana [1]. The source states that the market resolves to "Draw" in all other cases, including where the toss and match winners differ or where no match winner is recorded [1].
The rules also settle several edge cases. DLS/DRS adjustments, forfeits, and Super Over results count as ordinary wins, and a tied match with no tiebreak resolves to "Draw" [1]. A postponed match keeps the market open until the fixture is completed [1]. The source lists the scheduled match date as 2026-07-28 and the listed end time as 2026-08-05T03:00:00.000Z [1]. These are contract terms, not confirmation of when the match was played or when the market settled.
Reading the snapshot
Three markets are included: Mpata Winner, Draw, and Bussana Winner. Each shows a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 in the saved snapshot [1]. The provider observed these values at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:05:50.999Z. Because the observation time is later than the listed end time, the snapshot should not be read as a live quote. The evidence does not show whether the market has closed, settled, or been resolved.
The three Yes prices sum to 1.5. These outcomes are mutually exclusive within this event, but a total above 1 is a feature of the saved prices, not an arbitrage signal. Prices are snapshots rather than executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because all three values are identical, the sample's price ordering does not separate the outcomes.
The coverage record reports 3 of 3 saved markets included and no partial sample [1]. This describes the saved provider event only. The source notes that it does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain the 0.5 prices, indicate trading activity, or describe the number of participants. Volume and liquidity are not shown in this excerpt. It also does not report the match result, the toss result, or whether the match was played as scheduled. Any comparison with other platforms would require matching contract wording, and this record contains only the Polymarket source.
References
- Polymarket: Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Bussana - Toss Match Double. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia market concerns a cricket match in the Mukono Super Smash T20 between Mpata and Bussana. The contract rules state that the fixture is scheduled for 2026-07-28 [1]. The contract is a combined market. It asks whether one side wins both the pre-match coin toss and the final match result [1]. Under the rules, the outcome labelled for Mpata is correct only if Mpata is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The same test applies to Bussana. If the toss winner and match winner are different teams, or if no match winner is recorded, the market resolves to "Draw" [1]. A winning toss alone therefore does not satisfy either side's outcome. The rules also explain how unusual results are handled. DLS or DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeits or walkovers, Super Overs, and other on-field rulings that produce a declared match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If a match ends tied and playing conditions provide a tiebreak such as a Super Over, the tiebreak winner counts as the match winner. If a tie has no tiebreak, the market resolves to "Draw". A match that is permanently canceled or abandoned without an official winner also resolves to "Draw". A postponed or rescheduled match keeps the market open until the listed fixture is completed, after which the same rules apply [1]. The event includes three linked markets: one for each team winning both the toss and the match, and one for the Draw resolution. Each market has Yes and No outcomes. The saved snapshot shows the listed end time as 2026-08-05 at 03:00 UTC for all three markets [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a combined result rather than a single event. It pairs the pre-match coin toss with the official match outcome [1]. Because the toss and the result must both favour the same team for a team-specific outcome to resolve in its favour, the contract structure differs from a simple match-winner market. The rules set out how ties, adjusted results, cancellations and postponements affect resolution, so readers can see which conditions lead to a Draw resolution [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does a team need to win only the toss to satisfy its outcome?
No. The team-specific outcome is correct only if the same team is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match [1].
What happens if the toss winner does not win the match?
The rules state that if the toss and match winners differ, the market resolves to "Draw" [1].
How are tied matches handled?
If a tie is settled by an on-field tiebreak such as a Super Over, that tiebreak winner is treated as the match winner. If no tiebreak is used or available, the market resolves to "Draw" [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
The market remains open until the listed fixture is completed, and then resolves under the same rules [1].
Is a displayed price the same as a verified probability?
No. The displayed prices are snapshots from the market data, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the sample includes all three saved markets for this event [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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