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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Stepanchuk Yaroslav vs. Fomin Mykyta

Stepanchuk Yaroslav vs. Fomin Mykyta
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Markets

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Stepanchuk Yaroslav and Fomin Mykyta in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for November 4 at 9:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stepanchuk Yaroslav' if Stepanchuk Yaroslav wins against Fomin Mykyta. This market will resolve to 'Fomin Mykyta' if Fomin Mykyta wins against Stepanchuk Yaroslav. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T00:00:05.980Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The main market is a winner contract on the table tennis match between Stepanchuk Yaroslav and Fomin Mykyta in Setka Cup Ukraine Men [1]. It resolves to the named player who wins. The source states that a cancelled match, a tie, or a delay beyond 7 days without a winner resolves 50-50, as does a walkover [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is official event statistics. A consensus of credible reporting is used only if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1].

The source lists the scheduled start as October 28 at 10:35PM ET and the listed end time as 2026-11-05T02:35:00.000Z [1]. The listed end time is a contract rule, not an announced event date. The evidence does not show when or whether results were published.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-29T00:00:05.980Z, and the source was retrieved on 2026-11-02 [1]. The observation came before the scheduled start, so the prices describe that observation only. They do not show current prices or the match result.

In the snapshot, Stepanchuk Yaroslav was priced at 0.66 and Fomin Mykyta at 0.34 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not verified probabilities or executable quotes. The Over and Under 3.5 total games contracts were priced at 0.505 and 0.495, and the Over and Under 4.5 contracts at the same values. Both game handicap contracts were priced at 0.5 for each side [1]. The evidence does not explain these prices, and it does not include trading volume or trader counts.

The total games contracts use different thresholds, and the handicap contracts use different spreads, so each should be read against its own rules. The sample includes all 5 saved markets for this one Polymarket event, with partialSample set to false [1]. Because only one platform is present, no cross-platform comparison is possible.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the match result, whether the match was played as scheduled, or whether final statistics were published. The sample warning notes that the saved markets do not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome [1]. Readers should check the current contract page and official event statistics before drawing conclusions.

References

  1. Polymarket: Stepanchuk Yaroslav vs. Fomin Mykyta. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T00:00:05.980Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event for a table tennis match between Stepanchuk Yaroslav and Fomin Mykyta, listed under the Sports category. The event refers to the match in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men competition, scheduled for October 28 at 10:35PM ET [1]. The scheduled date is taken from the event description. It is not an announcement of a new event, and the supplied material does not say whether the match was played or what its result was. The main market resolves to the name of the player who wins the match. The event description states that the market will resolve to 'Stepanchuk Yaroslav' if that player wins, and to 'Fomin Mykyta' if that player wins [1]. The saved event also lists a listed end time of 2026-11-05T02:35:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time. It is not the time the match was played or resolved. The saved event contains five related markets: the match winner, two total games over and under lines (3.5 and 4.5), and two game handicap contracts, one for each player at minus 1.5 and plus 1.5 [1]. Each market shares the same event and listed end time. The contract titles describe what each market asks, but the supplied material does not give separate resolution wording for the totals or handicap markets, so this entry does not describe their settlement rules in detail.

Why It Matters

The match winner contract asks which of the two named players will be recorded as the winner of this specific table tennis match. The event description says that a result is determined by the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. Because the outcome depends on the match result and the chosen resolution source, the contract's meaning depends on those rules as much as on the players' names [1].

Snapshot context

The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

When does this market resolve to 50-50?

The market resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled and not played at all, if it ends in a tie, or if it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined. It also resolves to 50-50 if a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically in a walkover [1].

What happens if a player retires or is disqualified during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retired, defaulted, or was disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

Which sources decide the result?

The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].

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Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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