Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?

Total Volume

$2.48K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?

Vol

$2.48K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.48K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.48K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season	Kalshi	100%
4+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season	Kalshi	90%
5+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season	Kalshi	53%
6+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$2.48K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

#1 (2026-27) If at least X teams are ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll during any week in the 2026-27 Division I college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the number of distinct teams that are ranked #1 in the College Football AP Top 25 Poll at any point during the 2026-27 college football season, as published on the official Associated Press website. Note: Every AP Top 25 Poll released during the 2026-27 season counts toward this total, inc

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** #1 (2026-27)

If at least X teams are ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll during any week in the 2026-27 Division I college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the number of distinct teams that are ranked #1 in the College Football AP Top 25 Poll at any point during the 2026-27 college football season, as published on the official Associated Press website. Note: Every AP Top 25 Poll released during the 2026-27 season counts toward this total, inc

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If at least 6 teams are ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll during any week in the 2026-27 Division I college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of distinct teams that are ranked #1 in the College Football AP Top 25 Poll "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. 6+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 9, 2027): Vol $395
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. 5+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 9, 2027): Vol $261
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. 4+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 9, 2027): Vol $493
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. 3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 9, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?

Volume$2.48K

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

KALSHI

3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

If at least 3 teams are ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll during any week in the 2026-27 Division I college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of distinct teams that are ranked #1 in the College Football AP Top 25 Poll

KALSHI

4+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

4+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

If at least 4 teams are ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll during any week in the 2026-27 Division I college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of distinct teams that are ranked #1 in the College Football AP Top 25 Poll

KALSHI

5+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

5+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

If at least 5 teams are ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll during any week in the 2026-27 Division I college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of distinct teams that are ranked #1 in the College Football AP Top 25 Poll

KALSHI

6+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

6+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

If at least 6 teams are ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll during any week in the 2026-27 Division I college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of distinct teams that are ranked #1 in the College Football AP Top 25 Poll

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Average Yes Price

64¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/a6xhB1" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?"></iframe>

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How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?

How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?

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3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?

Markets (4)

3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

4+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

4+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

5+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

5+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

6+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

6+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many teams will rank #1 on the College Football AP Poll this season?

3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

3+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

4+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

4+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

5+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

5+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

6+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

6+ teams to rank #1 on any AP Poll in the 2026-27 college football season

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