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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia

Name: São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia
End: 2026-05-03T19:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$41.06

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia

Vol

$41.06

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $41.06

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $41.06

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?	Poly	47%
Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?	Poly	28%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?	Poly	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$41.06

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between São Paulo FC and EC Bahia.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between São Paulo FC and EC Bahia.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $41
* **Total Liquidity:** $698.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between São Paulo FC and EC Bahia.

Volume$41.06

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If São Paulo FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this

POLYMARKET

Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game

POLYMARKET

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If EC Bahia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this mar

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/a8siqP" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia"></iframe>

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São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia

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Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia

Markets (3)

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?

Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?

Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?

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Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?

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São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?

Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?

Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?

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