ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET" [1]. Its rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The contract therefore depends on a Chainlink average over a fixed window, not on the spot price at a single moment on another exchange. A reader comparing it with a similar contract should check whether that contract uses the same data stream, the same asset pair, and the same window.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T11:50:39.864Z [1]. The observation is therefore about three hours older than the retrieval time, and it does not describe live pricing at the moment of reading. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T15:15:00.000Z, and the provider status at retrieval was "active" [1].
At observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not show the order book, the spread, or the traded volume, so it says nothing about liquidity.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, and the coverage record marks it as complete, with no partial sample [1]. Because the provider lists only two outcomes here, no omitted outcome needs to be considered. The evidence does not explain why the two prices are equal, and this summary does not offer a reason.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price path during the window, the Chainlink TWAP value, or the price at the start of the range, so it is not possible to say what the outcome will be or has been. The evidence also does not show the final resolution. This summary cannot say whether the contract has closed or settled.
Comparisons with other platforms or other ZCash contracts require matching the window, the data source, and the close time. A different platform or a different listed end time is not evidence of an arbitrage opportunity, and this summary does not treat prices from different contracts as directly comparable.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET" [1]. The contract is a binary market with two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. Its rules tie the result to a single price measurement rather than to a news event or a company announcement. The resolution rule compares two values. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The TWAP is generated by Chainlink, and the market names the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as its resolution source [1]. The contract also states that it concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream only, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader should therefore not assume that a price quoted on a particular exchange determines the outcome. The contract's timing is set by its listed end time, which is 2026-11-01T15:15:00Z [1]. The title's Eastern Time window corresponds to that end time. The provider's status at the time of retrieval was active [1]. The source was observed at 09:00:05 UTC and retrieved at 11:50:39 UTC on 2026-11-01 [1]. These are separate timestamps. The observation time describes when the provider data was captured, the retrieval time describes when this record was collected, and neither confirms the contract's final result. The listed end time is the scheduled close of the window in the contract rules, not a record of when the market settled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the ZEC/USD price, as expressed by the Chainlink TWAP over a 15-minute window, finishes at or above its starting level for that window [1]. Because the comparison uses a time-weighted average over the window and not a single trade, the result reflects the average price during the interval relative to the price at its start [1]. The contract is narrowly defined. It does not measure ZCash's broader market direction, its value on other platforms, or any event outside the stated window [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should keep the resolution feed and the time window in view.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the contract says it does not rely on other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the window end?
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T15:15:00Z, which matches the 10:15 AM Eastern Time close shown in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.