Varlamov Oleh vs. Troian Andrii
PM $0
1
5
Varlamov Oleh vs. Troian Andrii
PM $0
1
5
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Varlamov Oleh and Troian Andrii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 16 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varlamov Oleh' if Varlamov Oleh wins against Troian Andrii. This market will resolve to 'Troian Andrii' if Troian Andrii wins against Varlamov Oleh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event covers a table tennis match between Varlamov Oleh and Troian Andrii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men [1]. The source describes the match as "scheduled for October 16 at 3:00AM ET" [1]. The five saved markets are the match winner, two total-games lines (Over/Under 3.5 and 4.5), and two game handicap lines [1].
The winner market resolves to "Varlamov Oleh" or "Troian Andrii" based on the match result. The source also sets 50-50 resolution for a cancelled match, a tie, a walkover, or a delay "beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined" [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified after the match begins, the advancing player wins [1].
The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers." A "consensus of credible reporting" applies only if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends [1].
Reading the snapshot
The market data was observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:17:11.003Z [1]. These are prices from that observation, not live quotes. The source does not show the match result or whether the match has started.
The quoted prices are:
- Total games Over 3.5: 0.505; Under 3.5: 0.495 [1]
- Total games Over 4.5: 0.505; Under 4.5: 0.495 [1]
- Match winner: Varlamov Oleh 0.5; Troian Andrii 0.5 [1]
- Game handicap (Varlamov Oleh -1.5): 0.5 for each side [1]
- Game handicap (Troian Andrii -1.5): 0.5 for each side [1]
The handicap markets are separate contracts with different wording, so their prices should not be compared with the winner market as if they measured the same outcome. All five markets carry the same listed end time, 2026-10-23T07:00:00.000Z [1]. That field is a platform closing time, not the match time, and it does not confirm when the match will be played.
The saved sample is complete for this event: 5 of 5 markets are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The source notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. It does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants, so these prices should not be read as a measure of market depth. No other platform is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
References
- Polymarket: Varlamov Oleh vs. Troian Andrii. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract concerns a men's table tennis match between Varlamov Oleh and Troian Andrii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The contract text describes the match as scheduled for October 16 at 3:00 AM ET [1]. The listed end time for the contract is October 23, 2026 at 07:00 UTC [1]. The main market resolves to the player who wins the match. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match starts but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event, as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The same event also carries related markets on total games, namely Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 3.5 and 4.5 totals, and game handicap markets that give each player a 1.5 game spread. Their rules are not spelled out in the source excerpt used here, so the description above covers only the match winner contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which player wins a specific scheduled table tennis match. Its rules define what happens in edge cases, such as cancellation, a tie, a delay of more than 7 days, a retirement, or a walkover, so that the market has a defined result in each case [1]. Traders reading the contract should note that a 50-50 resolution in those cases is set by the rules, not by the match result [1]. The contract also depends on the event's official statistics or, if those are missing, a consensus of credible reporting after the 2-hour window [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who does the main market resolve to?
It resolves to the player who wins the match between Varlamov Oleh and Troian Andrii [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or not played?
If the match is canceled and not played at all, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if one player retires or is disqualified during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What is the primary source used to decide the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
