Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko
PM $38.81
1
16
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko
PM $38.81
1
16
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Completed Match at 49%.
Polymarket
- Completed Match49%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $38.81
Reported volume · provider units
16
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Polina Iatcenko in the Guangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alevtina Ibragimova' if Alevtina Ibragimova advances against Polina Iatcenko. This market will resolve to 'Polina Iatcenko' if Polina Iatcenko advances against Alevtina Ibragimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T15:00:06.814Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The sample covers one Polymarket event, "Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko," and the rules state that the match was "originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00PM ET" [1]. The main winner contracts resolve to the player who advances. The rules also set fallback terms: if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner "by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET," the market resolves 50-50, and a walkover also resolves 50-50 [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is "official information from the WTA Tour," and "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].
The listed end time for every market in this sample is 2026-11-01T03:00:00.000Z. That is the platform's close setting, not an announced match time or a result.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-24T15:00:06.814Z and retrieved at 2026-10-24T17:27:16.939Z [1]. They describe that moment only and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample includes 12 of 16 markets for this event, so it is partial [1]. Markets were ranked by Yes price, and omitted markets should not be read as priced lower. Within this event, the Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5 line shows Over at 0.65 and Under at 0.35, while the game spread prices Polina Iatcenko at 0.57 and Alevtina Ibragimova at 0.43 [1]. The Set 2 Winner market is at 0.50 for each player [1]. These lines use different thresholds and structures, so they should not be averaged or compared as one estimate.
Different thresholds, such as Match Over/Under 21.5, 22.5, and 23.5, are separate contracts with separate prices [1]. Their differences reflect those contract terms, not a single trend. The evidence does not explain why any price was where it was.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the match status after the snapshot, whether the match was played, or any result. It also does not show trading activity, liquidity, or how many participants hold each position. Volume is not included in the discussion above because it does not measure liquidity or trader count. Because the sample is partial, no conclusion about the full market field is supported. Readers should check the contract rules and the platform directly for current status before relying on any figure.
References
- Polymarket: Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T15:00:06.814Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Polymarket market on a tennis qualification match at the Guangzhou Open between Alevtina Ibragimova and Polina Iatcenko. The market resolves to 'Alevtina Ibragimova' if Ibragimova advances against Iatcenko, and to 'Polina Iatcenko' if Iatcenko advances against Ibragimova [1]. The contract describes the match as originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, which is a scheduled time from the contract rules rather than a confirmed playing time [1]. The rules also cover several non-standard outcomes. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which is 14 days after the scheduled start, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The stated primary resolution source is official information from the WTA Tour, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The contract lists an end time of November 1, 2026 at 3:00 AM UTC and a provider status of active [1]. The market data in this article is a snapshot observed on October 24, 2026 at 3:00 PM UTC, and it was retrieved later that day [1]. These figures describe what the provider showed at that time. They are not current prices, executable quotes, or verified probabilities. Trading volume is also not a measure of liquidity or the number of participants. The snapshot includes 12 of the 16 markets listed for this event, so it is a partial sample [1]. Among the included contracts, the Set 1 games Over 8.5 price was 0.65 and the Under 8.5 price was 0.35 [1]. The game spread priced Iatcenko at 0.57 and Ibragimova at 0.43 [1]. The Set 2 winner contract was priced at 0.50 for each player [1]. The completed match contract was priced at 0.49 for Yes and 0.51 for No [1]. The set handicap for Iatcenko at minus 1.5 games was 0.445, and for Ibragimova at plus 1.5 games it was 0.555 [1]. These figures are only for the included markets and should not be read as a complete picture of all contracts for this match.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of the two named players advances from this Guangzhou Open qualification match [1]. Its rules also define how the market settles in cases where the match does not produce a normal winner, including cancellation, a tie, an incomplete match, or a walkover [1]. Because the outcome is tied to official WTA information or a consensus of credible reporting, the resolution depends on how the result is reported under these rules [1]. The other included markets address set and match totals, game spreads, and set handicaps, but the contract text provided here does not explain how those markets are scored beyond their titles [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who does this market resolve to?
The market resolves to Alevtina Ibragimova if she advances against Polina Iatcenko, and to Polina Iatcenko if she advances against Alevtina Ibragimova [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or not completed?
If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match starts but one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What happens in a walkover?
If a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What information is used to decide the result?
The primary resolution source is official information from the WTA Tour, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Do the prices show the likelihood of each outcome?
The prices are snapshots from October 24, 2026 at 3:00 PM UTC, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. They also cover only 12 of the 16 markets listed for this event [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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