EPL Player Goals
PM $0 · K 173.74 contracts
2
82
EPL Player Goals
PM $0 · K 173.74 contracts
2
82
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Alexander Isak 16+ is priced at 50% on Polymarket and 77.5% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Isak 16+Same question, fine print differs | 50% | 77.5% | 27.5 pts |
| João Pedro 14+Same question, fine print differs | 50% | 58% | 8.0 pts |
| Antoine Semenyo 11+Same question, fine print differs | 50% | 50% | 0.0 pts |
| Benjamin Šeško 11+Same question, fine print differs | 50% | 50% | 0.0 pts |
| Brian Brobbey 10+Same question, fine print differs | 50% | 50% | 0.0 pts |
| Bryan Mbeumo 11+Same question, fine print differs | 50% | 50% | 0.0 pts |
| Cole Palmer 12+Same question, fine print differs | 50% | 50% | 0.0 pts |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin 13+Same question, fine print differs | 50% | 50% | 0.0 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0 · K 173.74 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
82
Saved contracts
15
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Player Goals 2026-27 If Yoane Wissa records X goals across all games during the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs or the regular season ends.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event, "EPL Player Goals," contains contracts on individual players' goal totals for the 2026-27 EPL season. The event excerpt states: "If Yoane Wissa records X goals across all games during the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each listed market uses its own player and threshold, such as Alexander Isak at 16+ goals or Joao Pedro at 14+ and 19+ goals. A different threshold is a different contract, so prices across thresholds should not be read as one comparison.
The listed end date for every included market is 2027-06-07T14:00:00.000Z [1]. The excerpt also says the market "will close and expire after the event occurs or the regular season ends" and that the provider's listed end time is "not supplied" [1]. Because these two statements differ, the end date field should be treated as a recorded value rather than a confirmed closing time. This snapshot does not show how or when any contract will resolve.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-18T06:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-18T07:48:37Z [1]. It describes market prices at those times, not live prices now.
The sample is partial. The event has 50 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by highest Yes price, then volume. Omitted markets are not shown to be lower-priced, and the included set should not be treated as the full field.
Among the included markets, Isak's 16+ Yes price is 0.775, Joao Pedro's 14+ Yes price is 0.59, and Saka's 11+ Yes price is 0.575 [1]. Several markets, including Wissa at 10+ and 14+, Richarlison at 10+ and 14+, and Kudus at 8+ and 12+, are quoted at 0.50 for Yes [1]. These prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume is not a measure of liquidity or trader count.
What remains uncertain
The excerpt does not explain why prices are where they are, and this analysis does not offer a reason. Prices from different threshold contracts or different platforms should not be averaged or compared as an arbitrage opportunity. The excerpt also includes a non-affiliation statement from Kalshi regarding the Governing League [1], which the reader should keep in mind when interpreting the source.
References
- Kalshi: EPL Player Goals. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The EPL Player Goals event on Kalshi is a contract series about how many goals individual players record across all games in the 2026-27 English Premier League season [1]. Each contract names a player and a goal threshold. Under the provider's rule, a contract resolves to Yes if the named player records the stated number of goals across all games during that season [1]. The provider page describes the event as active and says the market will close and expire after the event occurs or the regular season ends [1]. The provider did not supply a listed end time [1]. The market records for these contracts show an end date of 7 June 2027, but that is a contract field and not an announced date for any event. The contract rules themselves tie closing to the season outcome rather than to that date [1]. This market sample covers one saved provider event. It includes 12 of the event's 50 markets, selected by Yes price in descending order and then by volume [1]. The omitted markets are not shown, so no conclusion about their prices or rankings should be drawn, and the sample should not be compared with markets from other events or providers.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a player's cumulative goal total across the 2026-27 EPL season, not the outcome of any single match [1]. Because each market is tied to a threshold, the contracts ask whether a player reaches a specific season total. The provider notes that Kalshi is not affiliated with or endorsed by the Governing League, and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. The prices shown are the provider's observed values at the time of the snapshot. They are not guaranteed trade prices, and the sample does not establish how likely any outcome is.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-18 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require in this contract?
According to the provider's rule example, a contract resolves to Yes if the named player records the stated number of goals across all games during the 2026-27 EPL season [1].
When does the market close?
The provider states that the market will close and expire after the event occurs or the regular season ends [1]. The provider did not supply a listed end time [1], so the date 7 June 2027 in the market records should be read as a contract field, not a confirmed closing time.
Is Kalshi connected to the league?
No. The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Same question, fine print differs
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
4
Same-question pairs
15
Largest saved gap: 27.5 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
