Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket contract, "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T19:00:00.000Z [1]. The title's window is written in Eastern Time, so readers should convert the listed UTC time themselves when comparing the two. The contract's closing time, the time of the price observation, and the time of actual resolution are separate events, and this snapshot does not report a resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation was taken at 2026-10-25T21:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T22:17:58Z [1]. Those times describe this capture only and should not be read as live prices. The recorded quotes are "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two outcomes sum to 1.000 in this record, so the snapshot does not show a gap between them.
The sample covers a single market in this provider event. Coverage reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is present, there is no other outcome to compare, and nothing here should be read as a ranking across events or platforms. The record does not include trading volume or liquidity data, so it cannot show how deep the market was or how many participants were involved.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not explain why prices stood where they did, and it contains no news or other context about the Hyperliquid price. It also does not show how the price changed before or after the observation time. Because the evidence is a single capture from one platform, it cannot establish a current price, a consensus view, or how these quotes compare with other markets. The outcome will depend on the Chainlink TWAP data for the stated window, which is not included in the supplied evidence.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET" [1]. It belongs to the crypto category and asks whether the price of Hyperliquid, measured over a five-minute window named in the title, finishes at or above where it started [1]. The provider record lists two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. The resolution rule compares two values. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The provider describes the TWAP as generated by Chainlink [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window rather than a single trade at the close, a brief move near the end of the window does not by itself decide the result. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the HYPE/USD pair and not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader therefore needs to consider this specific data feed when reading the contract, since prices quoted on other venues are not the reference for resolution [1]. The provider record lists an end time of 2026-10-26T19:00:00.000Z [1]. The window named in the title is the period the contract measures. The end time is the listed closing point in the provider record and is separate from the resolution outcome itself. The listed status of the event is active in the retrieved record [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the HYPE/USD price, as recorded in a Chainlink TWAP data stream, is at or above its starting level for the five-minute window in the title [1]. It is a directional question about a short interval rather than a question about a longer-term price target. Because the rules specify a particular data stream, the outcome depends on that feed and not on the general market price of the asset elsewhere [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the contract decide between Up and Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Hyperliquid over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, available at the Chainlink data stream address named in the rules [1]. The rules state that other sources and spot markets are not the reference [1].
Does the contract use the closing price at the end of the window?
No. The rules refer to the time-weighted average price over the window, compared with the price at the start of the window [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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