Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers Polymarket markets for the La Liga match between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad de Fútbol [1]. The provider excerpt says the game is scheduled for November 1 at 3:00 PM ET and lists an end time of 2026-11-01T20:00:00.000Z [1]. The listed end time is a contract setting. It does not show that the match has been played or that any market has resolved.

The markets test different things. Some are match-level Over/Under lines at 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals. Others cover first-half or second-half totals, team-specific totals, or Both Teams to Score with Yes and No outcomes [1]. Each market should be read by its own title and outcome labels, not grouped as one question.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 06:00 UTC on 20 October 2026, and the excerpt was retrieved at 08:01 UTC the same day [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Among the included markets, the match Over 0.5 is priced at 0.93 and Over 1.5 at 0.75, while Over 2.5 is at 0.51 [1]. Both Teams to Score Yes is priced at 0.555 [1]. Several team and half-specific markets are priced at 0.50 on both sides, and some are at 0.495 or 0.505 [1].

Each line is a separate contract, so these prices should not be combined into a single forecast or averaged across unlike outcomes. A price difference between two contracts is not by itself an arbitrage opportunity.

The sample is partial. The provider event contains 60 markets, and 12 are included [1]. Included markets were selected by Yes price descending, then volume. Omitted markets are therefore not implied to have lower prices. Volume reflects trading activity, not liquidity or the number of traders, and the excerpt reports no trader counts.

What remains uncertain

The supplied evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it contains no news or team context. It does not show the outcomes of the 48 omitted markets or whether prices will change before the listed end time. The excerpt does not include the full settlement rules, so readers should check the provider page for exact resolution wording before relying on any market.

References

1. Polymarket: Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z.