BNB Up or Down - October 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market, listed in the Crypto category, is titled "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET" [1]. The provider states that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1]
The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules. The provider adds that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1] The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:45:00.000Z [1]. A reader should compare this against the title's 9:45PM ET close and note that a listed end time is not the same as an actual resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record was observed at 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:20:03.486Z [1]. These are different times, and neither is the current price. In that observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this record, and the provider status was recorded as active at observation [1]. That status describes the saved snapshot only.
The sample covers one market from one event, with 1 total market, 1 included market, and partialSample set to false [1]. Because the evidence contains no other platform or contract, no cross-platform comparison is possible, and no outcomes have been combined.
Volume is not part of this record, so nothing here indicates liquidity or the number of traders involved.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the TWAP values for the 9:40 to 9:45PM ET window, the reference price at the start of that window, or the final result. The 03:00 UTC prices therefore do not describe conditions during the contract window, and the outcome cannot be determined from this record. Readers who need current prices or the resolution should check the provider page and the Chainlink data stream directly.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET," listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is specific. The rules say the market concerns the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for the BNB/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader reading the contract therefore needs to know which feed settles it, not just which exchange price looks relevant. The provider also names the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:45:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the 9:40 to 9:45 PM ET window [1]. This is the contract's stated closing time, not a record of how the market resolved. The saved provider record was observed at 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:20:03Z, and its status at retrieval was active [1]. Those times describe when the record was captured. They do not show what the market's status or price is now.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the BNB/USD price, as averaged over a fixed five-minute interval by the Chainlink TWAP stream, ends at or above its value at the start of that interval [1]. Because the rule compares the average over the window with the starting price, it asks about the direction of the average relative to the opening level rather than the price at the final moment alone [1]. Anyone using the contract's price as an indicator should keep in mind that it reflects the price on the platform at the snapshot time and is not a verified probability of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the "Up" outcome require?
The market resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the 9:40 to 9:45 PM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source decides the result?
The rules specify the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream and state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
Does the listed end time mean the market has already resolved?
No. The listed end time of 2026-10-20T01:45:00Z marks the end of the contract window in the provider's record, while the saved status at retrieval was active [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.