Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract covers a five-minute window, 8:00 to 8:05 AM ET on October 28. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over that range is at or above the starting price. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T12:05:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's listed close, not a confirmed resolution time. The evidence does not show how the contract was resolved, so no outcome can be reported.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T17:25:03.047Z [1]. The prices below describe the saved observation from 15:00 UTC, not conditions at the time of this reading. The saved market shows "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1].
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They do not show whether a trade could be filled at these levels. The evidence contains no volume or liquidity figures, so nothing can be said about trading depth or how many participants are involved.
The coverage record lists one market for this event, with one included and no partial sampling [1]. The sample contains only this contract, so it does not describe other Dogecoin windows or other platforms. Comparing this contract with a differently worded contract on another platform would be misleading unless the two use the same measurement window, reference price, data source, and close time.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand at 0.5. It also does not show any news, trader activity, or changes since the 15:00 UTC observation. Because the provider's status was "active" at observation, the current status of the contract is unknown [1].
Whether the market is still active at the time of reading, and what its price is now, cannot be determined from this evidence. Readers who need current prices should check the provider directly and note the observation time of any figure they use.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract on Polymarket titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET" [1]. It is a binary contract with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T12:05:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 8:05 AM ET end of the window named in the title [1]. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules state that the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source also says the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore check that data stream, rather than a price on an exchange, to understand what decides the outcome [1]. The market record shows a status of active and a snapshot with both outcomes priced at 0.5 [1]. That snapshot reflects a moment in the provider's data, not a tradable quote, and it should not be read as an estimate of the likelihood of either outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD time-weighted average price over the 8:00 AM to 8:05 AM ET window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the comparison uses a TWAP rather than a single price at one instant, the result depends on prices across the whole window as recorded in that specific data stream [1]. The contract is limited to that one data stream and does not settle on other sources [1]. The market's displayed prices and its trading volume describe activity on this single contract. They are not a measure of liquidity or the number of participants, and the snapshot should not be treated as an executable price.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T12:05:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.