ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event asks whether ZCash will finish a short window higher or lower than where it started. The market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the contract states that it is "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The title window is October 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET, and the listed end time is 2026-10-16T14:25:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time in the contract data, not a record that the market has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved data was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:07:23.236Z [1]. In that observation, both the "Up" and "Down" outcomes were priced at 0.5 [1]. These are provider snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they describe only that observation time. The provider status was recorded as active [1].
The coverage record lists one market, with all of it included and no partial sample [1]. The sample therefore contains only this binary contract, and no outcome is missing from it. The source also notes that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Equal prices show that the two outcomes were quoted at the same level at that moment. They do not indicate the direction of any later move or how many traders hold either view.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the ZEC/USD TWAP values during the window, the starting price used for comparison, or the final result. The outcome cannot be determined from this material. The snapshot is from October 15, 2026, and it should not be read as a current price. The record also contains no volume or liquidity data. Any comparison with other ZCash contracts would need matching wording, data sources, and close times, since differences in those terms would make the prices non-comparable.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on ZCash (ZEC) listed on Polymarket. The event is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET" and is categorized as Crypto [1]. It asks whether the ZEC/USD price over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, which the source identifies by its data stream address [1]. The source states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. This means the outcome depends on that specific data feed rather than on the price shown on any exchange. Anyone reading the contract should check the rule text, because a price move on one venue does not by itself determine the result. The listed end time is 2026-10-16T14:25:00.000Z, and the provider status recorded in the saved source is active [1]. The listed end time marks when the price window closes under the contract's terms. It is a contract rule, not a record that the window has already closed or that any resolution has occurred. The saved market shows two outcomes, Up and Down, each priced at 0.5 in the snapshot [1]. That snapshot reflects the provider's data at the time it was observed, not a live or executable quote. Equal prices in a snapshot do not indicate what will happen in the window, and the price in this record should not be read as a probability forecast.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the ZEC/USD price, as reported by one specified Chainlink TWAP data stream, finishes the five-minute window at or above its starting level [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price, the result reflects the average over the window compared with the price at the start of the window [1]. The rule also limits the price reference to that one data stream, so the contract is a question about that feed's reading, not about ZCash's price in general [1]. Traders and readers who compare this market with other ZCash prices should note that the rule excludes other sources and spot markets [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the source states that other sources or spot markets are not used for resolution [1].
Does a price of 0.5 for each outcome mean the result is a coin flip?
The saved prices are snapshots from when the provider data was observed, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as a forecast of the outcome [1].
When does the price window end?
The listed end time in the saved source is 2026-10-16T14:25:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 10:25 AM ET end stated in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
