Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid: Spread

Reported volume

K 400 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid: Spread

Vol

K 400 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

400 contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

12 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Real Madrid wins by over 2.5 points

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Real Madrid wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	78.0%
Real Madrid wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	66.0%
Real Madrid wins by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	51.0%
Bilbao Basket wins by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	50.0%
Bilbao Basket wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	49.5%
Bilbao Basket wins by over 22.5 points	Kalshi	45.5%
Bilbao Basket wins by over 18.5 points	Kalshi	45.5%
Real Madrid wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	37.0%
Real Madrid wins by over 18.5 points	Kalshi	24.5%
Real Madrid wins by over 22.5 points	Kalshi	15.5%
Bilbao Basket wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	11.0%
Bilbao Basket wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	5.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 400 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

BIL vs RMA (Oct 18) If Real Madrid wins by more than X points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid: Spread
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 400 contracts
Coverage: 12 of 12 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Real Madrid wins by over 6.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-RMA7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 66.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 34.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Real Madrid wins by more than 6.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Real Madrid wins by over 2.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-RMA3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Real Madrid wins by over 22.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-RMA23; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Real Madrid wins by more than 22.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Real Madrid wins by over 18.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-RMA19; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Real Madrid wins by more than 18.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Real Madrid wins by over 14.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-RMA15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 37.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 63.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Real Madrid wins by more than 14.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Real Madrid wins by over 10.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-RMA11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Real Madrid wins by more than 10.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Bilbao Basket wins by over 6.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-BIL7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Bilbao Basket wins by more than 6.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Bilbao Basket wins by over 2.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-BIL3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Bilbao Basket wins by more than 2.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Bilbao Basket wins by over 22.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-BIL23; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 200 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Bilbao Basket wins by more than 22.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Bilbao Basket wins by over 18.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-BIL19; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 200 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Bilbao Basket wins by more than 18.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Bilbao Basket wins by over 14.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-BIL15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Bilbao Basket wins by more than 14.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Bilbao Basket wins by over 10.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXACBSPREAD-26OCT180630BILRMA-BIL11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxacbspread-26oct180630bilrma
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Bilbao Basket wins by more than 10.5 points in the Bilbao Basket vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market includes overtime.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports