Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupKALSHIElections

Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?

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K 6.9K contracts

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Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?

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K 6.9K contracts

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6.9K contracts

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7 markets tracked

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Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	26.0%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	23.0%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	15.5%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 16 and 20 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	11.5%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 0 and 4 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	8.5%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be at least 20 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	8.5%
Will Troy Jackson's Senate margin minus Hannah Pingree's governor margin be above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?	Kalshi	2.5%

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K 6.9K contracts

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Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election minus Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election is between X and Y percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Percentages are based on first-choice votes, before any ranked-choice elimination. X margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 6.9K contracts
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMEPINGREEJACKSON-26DEC07-R8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmepingreejackson-26dec07
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.9K contracts
Outcome Yes: 23.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 77.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election minus Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election is between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Percentages are based on first-choice votes, before any ranked-choice elimination. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMEPINGREEJACKSON-26DEC07-R4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmepingreejackson-26dec07
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election minus Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election is between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Percentages are based on first-choice votes, before any ranked-choice elimination. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Troy Jackson's Senate margin minus Hannah Pingree's governor margin be above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMEPINGREEJACKSON-26DEC07-R-200; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmepingreejackson-26dec07
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election minus Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Percentages are based on first-choice votes, before any ranked-choice elimination. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 16 and 20 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMEPINGREEJACKSON-26DEC07-R16; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmepingreejackson-26dec07
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election minus Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election is between 16 and 20 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Percentages are based on first-choice votes, before any ranked-choice elimination. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMEPINGREEJACKSON-26DEC07-R12; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmepingreejackson-26dec07
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 26.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election minus Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election is between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Percentages are based on first-choice votes, before any ranked-choice elimination. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 0 and 4 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMEPINGREEJACKSON-26DEC07-R0; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmepingreejackson-26dec07
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 249.88 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election minus Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election is between 0 and 4 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Percentages are based on first-choice votes, before any ranked-choice elimination. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be at least 20 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMEPINGREEJACKSON-26DEC07-AL20; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmepingreejackson-26dec07
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 7, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 573.6 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election minus Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election is at least 20 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Percentages are based on first-choice votes, before any ranked-choice elimination. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

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